“You can’t complain that the market is broken just because you don’t agree with it.”
“Maybe this whole indexing thing is a self-reinforcing cycle of the sort Soros talks about. The more active managers underperform, the more investors rush into index funds, and the more investors rush into index funds, the higher the index goes, and the more active investors underperform.”
“Of course, this can’t go on forever, but like any big cycle, it is very hard to call the turn. It may take a big bear market to wash out all the passive investors first, and maybe when investing is no longer viewed as the right thing to do, the next cycle will start with active managers outperforming the indices (like Buffett in the 50s). Maybe putting on a pair trade like this is a good hedge against ‘broken’ markets!”
Hmmm…