mananainvesting
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Everything posted by mananainvesting
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Should help improve ROE (lower equity base), and more to the bottom line as others have mentioned. Should help with valuations in the longer run too imo.
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Fairfax investing in Orla Notes: https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/ORLA-MINING-LTD-19500426/news/Orla-Mining-Ltd-announced-that-it-expects-to-receive-CAD-200-million-in-funding-from-Fairfax-Financ-48397640/
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Prem on Investing in India. https://www.cnbctv18.com/business/companies/prem-watsa-on-fairfax-financials-7-billion-dollar-investment-in-india-india-canada-relations-19510220.htm
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I do not plan to sell the stock anytime soon, roughly I think fair value of the stock is ~$3000 USD, valuing it on the basis of how Gayner shows to value Markel (Investments- debt +value of Insurance biz + value of associates/ventures). I also agree that I might take a harder look if I think Forward ROE is going to be below 10. I also wouldn’t mind paying a premium(not costco like premium :D) to a company with a good culture where the terminal risk is low and getting lower with additions to associates. Nothing is for sure and I might do a U-turn later if circumstances change or if I think I was wrong. However, as now I plan to hold for a long time. Cheers and I appreciate the discussion.
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Thank you, I appreciate it.
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@Inofeisone: What’s your thesis on CNC? Any elevator pitch? Noticed the CFO buying, and I am intrigued.
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Bought more $HDB and got back into $FTT.TO
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Added to $T (AT&T) and $HDB.
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Added to $HDB
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What are the likely scenarios on FFH closing the TRS? Would they have to pay the financial institutions to close the position? Can Fairfax buy the shares underlying the TRS?
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Good catch on the share repurchase. I don't know the manager, the letter has a name at the top.
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Alphyn Capital Q3 letter discussing Fairfax. https://www.alphyncap.com/uploads/1/4/1/2/14123551/acml_2024-q3.pdf
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Bought more $T (ATT) today
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@SafetyinNumbers: Fantastic Podcast! Enjoyed the listen just like your previous podcast with Bill Brewster.
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Added to $FRFHF/$FFH.TO
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If the Marval guru fund inception date is 2019, what did Fairfax invest in 2017 ($50M)?
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Scotia raised target to $2200 from $2100 CAD.
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@MMM20 : Reveal your portfolio (we all wouldnt mind 30% annualized return). Btw, congrats on the fantastic performance, wishing you many more such years!
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As I ponder more, the market is not ascribing any value to Fairfax for finding fantastic managers to compound capital. Like the $100M in Marval if it holds the 22% annualized return, that’s a double in ~3 years! should be close to 0.5B dollars in ~7 years!. With the tailwinds India has in terms of growing GDP, it is such a good bet!
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Yeah, they didnt give the number from 2017 but from last 5 years which is 22% annualized (Prasad confirmed as well yesterday). 5 years is a long enough time frame to see this likely to be a fantastic investment in the future.
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If the after fees performance of fund is fantastic why not?
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If anyone has any recent/old Marval fund letter, could you please share mananainvesting@gmail.com. It would be good to see how Ben writes/thinks and what the fund holds. Hopefully we get to see his shareholder letter next year for Fairfax India. Much appreciate the share.