aesophawk
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Everything posted by aesophawk
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Completely agree. Market looks bubbly, but underneath you have real opportunities. My portfolio might look similar from a valuation perspective, but the quality and growth prospects of the businesses are much better than the "dumpster diving" names that made up the majority of my previous portfolio. Getting GARP companies at a value price.
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I buy rain or shine. There's always something to do. I do think the potential economic risks from the Iran conflict are underpriced and conference calls I've listened to have called out strained consumers on the lower end. But even with that in mind, there's a bunch of stuff out there that has already gotten waxed. Companies down 50+% and trading at levels from 10 years ago ain't hard to find. My worthless two cents is that it's a good environment for stock pickers.
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Restaurant stocks (MCD, PTLO, WEN, CAVA, CMG, etc)
aesophawk replied to ratiman's topic in General Discussion
I think the UK chains are better opportunities. I own LON DOM, but GRG also looks reasonable here. -
Sold MO and some BAC to purchase BRO and CPRT
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Does anyone have a referral/promo code for TIKR. After looking at ROIC.ai and TIKR, I landed on TIKR.
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Really bummed that QuickFS is shutting down. It's my most used website. Does anyone have any recommendations for alternatives? I've been looking at ROIC.ai.
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Interesting market, more opportunities than I can remember in a while. Bought some KMX, HTLD, CMCSA, and LYB. @Spekulatius saw that you bought some EMN. Curious if you looked at LYB, and if so why did you prefer EMN.
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ELV. Even with the current headwinds, the pricing on the entire industry seems irrational.
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The "additional brands" commentary is the only thing preventing me from making this a huge position. I think it's a homerun if they just continue investing in their business and returning everything else to shareholders.
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Added to London Dominos. Seems way too cheap here. Guided to the lower end of EBITDA. So what? 144 EBITDA vs ~1500 EV on business that's grows earnings and FCF over 10% a year. New CEO has a great track record. Fits into the Todd combs 15x fwd PE, earn more in 5 years with a 90%confidence, compound earnings at 7% with 50% confidence.
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Added to MSGE Started a position in UTMD
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Sold all SPHR Small trims to BAC and BRKB.
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MACF
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DOM and BAC
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Well said. I find this thread to be both entertaining and practically useless. Sort of like my family gatherings when my cousin gives me a horoscope reading. There's always something to do and there's always value to be found even in expensive markets.
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Is it a relevant question if there are cheap stocks available? I'm not bullish or bearish on the economy or the market, but currently there are cheap companies in my circle of competence. Does anything else really matter?
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MSGS. Suns are getting sold. Forbes valuation was 1.8 billion in Oct 2021. Media thinks they go for 2. I wouldn't be surprised if it goes higher.
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Measuring the Moat I found this information useful on the topic.
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Same. Bittersweet to see this one go. Nice to see a 50% jump on a day where the markets are down 2%, but at the same time I don't think it's greatest deal for shareholders.
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Not sure what comparing Lynch and Buffett has to do with the market bottom or even what the point of that exercise is. Who cares? They are both great investors. As far as the market bottom, I think it's too hard to tell, but I found this chart in JPM's Guide to the Markets interesting:
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What's your thesis for IAA? I've looked at this a couple of times, but didn't love the management. Losing GEICO was irritating.
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Do you have a source for this? I'd be interested in a full quote.
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AFI and more PMD
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Anyone add any positions in this space lately? I have always had some of my portfolio in J Net Nets. I recently sold 9885 after a nice run up. Currently holding 6346, 5983, 5900, and 6496.
