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Ulti

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Everything posted by Ulti

  1. Shouldn't be a huge surprise - these things are massive and almost always delayed. Even the Gorgon LNG project was massively overbudget Sounds similar to Plant Vogtle in Georgia that just opened.
  2. Interesting view from G-7 on Natty Gas ( from Javier Blas… Bloomberg)
  3. Good luck with the castle walls... This is just a very small aspect of the myriad of problems in the field of adult mental health: https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/other/adult-adhd-is-the-wild-west-of-psychiatry/ar-AA19RCMo However I wish to bring up a few points about under 18 mental health/ sexuality etc. ( And please realize I come from a medical background of 40 years and ,though not an expert, have seen all these issues up close and have dealt with the experts many many times). 1- To me the #1 problem is the advent of social media and the lack of easy parental control...As a mom or dad, I should be able to click a button , review post and generally be aware of my child's social browesings and communications....Monitoring is way to difficult and needs to be corrected. While sexual issues have always been around, the speed and prevalency of access to info ( both real and misinfo ) is astounding. 2- There has to be a balance of acceptance and right to exist vs protecting my child .... For example , My kid's in 1st grade and sees little Johnny has 2 moms... No fuss is made and no big deal (we've grown as a society)... Cali passes out memos to 1st graders talking about transgenders and their rights ( I was told this really happened, who knows )...Not cool..Having billboards promoting call xxx-xxxx for sex ( and Ive seen between 2 men 2 women and hetero) not cool....My 8 year old saw this 1 day in the past and wanted to call.( and I wont talk about the jesus billboards haha). Many ways to handle (sex ed in 6 grade etc) but I wont digress. 3- Get rid of these extremest politicians on both sides who's only purpose is to stay in power and make money ( both sides party together at night and call the American people suckers ). Total transparency in money donations, Revoke Citizens United vs. FEC. Empower rational moderates who can look at these issues ,compromise and help solve problems ( yes I know.. fantasyland). I could go on and on.. I just hope no parents here has to deal with suicide ideation ,depression, anxiety and a myriad of other mental health issues many kids today are going thru.... It totally sucked the times I learned a young one I personally knew, struggling with mental health \sexual identity\etc. , took their lives... Or the struggles parents and kids go thru getting help.( And its a very long journey). Compassion is a wonderful word.
  4. Relationships do change.....Who would have thought we would be allies with japan and germany ? While I despise President Trump (as well as President Biden) for a variety of reasons... he was totally correct in calling out Europeans on lack of defense spending and too much reliance on the US. I just don't see that changing in the current economic environment. I also think that if the economy tanks , it will be much tougher for the American public to support the war.
  5. https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/europe-is-not-ready-to-be-a-third interesting substack on how Europe is diminishing in manufacturing, defense and a host of other areas.
  6. There is that but the PE are buying well established businesses...if owner and staff remain; more difficult for a solo\newbie to compete.
  7. https://www.cainwatters.com/digitalblogs/sell-dental-practice-vs-private-equity/ This is a decent general based article that can pertain to all medical\dental\mental health offices.Most of the times, at least the deals that I've seen , your swimming with sharks and the #'s\ time commitment to continue practicing don't add up (occasionally it does ). If your like me and ran a solo practice for 40 years...its a very relationship driven business ( you always have your DR hat on 1st ). For a variety of reasons which I wont go into; I gave my practice to a younger Dr. with lots of honesty and integrity. I might have financially come out poorer by not selling...but i sleep great knowing my patients are in very good hands
  8. They are like cockaroaches…. Burrowed their way thruout dental / medical / mental health( residential, ioc, php)….they leave a pathway of destruction in their wake and do nothing for healthcare.. by the time I retired from practicing, I would say over half of the Dr’s I knew had sold out to PE…. Via a lump sum combination with having to Ramon in the practice for x number of years
  9. https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/cre-trends/q1-2023-preliminary-trend-announcement/
  10. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/13/bundesbanks-nagel-energy-crisis-is-solved-german-economy-is-safe.html fameous last words?
  11. https://www.fidelity.com/bin-public/060_www_fidelity_com/documents/alt-new/pdf/core-real-estate-trust-fund-1-termsheet.pdf looks like the gold rush is starting
  12. https://nypost.com/2023/04/12/more-than-10000-new-yorkers-moved-to-florida-in-2023-so-far/
  13. LC on top of all that getting thru local zoning greasing palms etc….sounds like an extremely difficult situation
  14. https://www.semafor.com/article/04/11/2023/leaning-towers-office-building-loans-are-looking-shaky
  15. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/what-commercial-real-estate-stress-means-for-banks/id1056200096?i=1000608157614
  16. From a month ago …. Inflation higher for longer and they have been prepping for more than a year
  17. Or maybe just follow Sam Zell
  18. https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/09/the-coming-commercial-real-estate-crash-that-may-never-happen.html
  19. Sentiment toward multifamily housing also remains much more positive as rents continue to rise, one reason why Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust had a positive return in February even as rising numbers of investors lodge withdrawal requests. The availability of agency-backed loans will help owners of those properties when they need to refinance. it will be interesting to see if this area holds up for the next few years… Being in west palm beach right now… I think the low tax sunbelt areas will continue to do well.
  20. vwinx 25% restricted account brkb 20% cash 14% rio 8% aiv 7% joe 6% ctra 6% vet 6% bti 4% c 4% Core and explore \top 3 core for years 30% + in harder assets like commodities and RE. (learning from this board thanks) 8% Shitty----
  21. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-03-28/biden-blew-a-winning-oil-bet-after-silicon-valley-bank-collapse?srnd=premium#xj4y7vzkg
  22. Agree and these are the same people who did not support Trump when he wanted to top offf the spr in 2020
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