How about hedge with US real estate exposure as this scenario you describe will do nothing but increase construction costs.
If your worst case 25% scenario occurs I’m sure Canada won’t be the only trade war going on, and this likely brings about the recession that the fed needs to drop rates. Plus we have financial engineering in the offing to manipulate the 10 year lower as well.
assuming these tariffs never occur or they only occur for a short period of time before a new trade deal, US residential real estate still likely to continue to do well as labor continues to be a huge issue regardless of tariffs and we have a big housing shortage south of the border.
If Canadian dollar plummets on a 25% tariff I for one will consider loading up since I don’t think there’s going to be 25% tariffs on Canada for longer than a couple months tops, but I don’t want to risk a 30 day ban expounding any more than that. It just doesn’t make sense to slap a punitive tariff on one of our greatest allies and trading partners.