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ValueHippie

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Everything posted by ValueHippie

  1. I hope so, but don’t think so. Without russian gas, storage will be empty before winter is over. The only solution is to reduce demand drastically. Given all the subsidies, I don’t see how we can reduce consumption by 15%+. Fingers crossed though
  2. I own quite a lot of Kistos and some Serica.
  3. There are some european gas stocks that trade as less than one time earnings with good management. I just buy more of those
  4. Did you write the puts? This happens, because the options traded below 71 "after hours". I think the cut-off time is something like 5:30 pm. However, it's mostly the big players who can exercise options until then. You can actually find screenshots of people who lost millions because of that, even though they put on a credit spread.
  5. Tikr has an amazing screener. Completely free.
  6. The internet judges way too fast. We don’t have any facts. This is just childish and none of our business. If Gates indeed went to bed with underage girls, let the courts decide. We all have to make the best out of our own lives.
  7. 7523.T Art Vivant Profitable netnet that is growing. Full writeup: http://findstox.com/2020/03/10/growing-netnet-with-good-upside-potential/
  8. Hi Nate! I came to the same conclusion, although the impact of the number of comments was not that large. I did a multiple regression to see the impact of either no comment, at least one comment and the impact of additional comments. How did you approach your research?
  9. I think you used CSU rather than CSU.to ;) He wrote that in his blog. You caught me, I didn't real the whole thing. I also wonder why there's no GOOG next to my name despite starting that thread. In any case, I agree that starting threads doesn't mean that much. Lots of threads I started are things I wouldn't touch with a ten-foot pole now.. It's in the calculations, but not in the one graphic. That's because in that graphic I zoomed in a bit to only look at stocks which are up max 3x since they were posted. GOOG is up by 3.65x ;)
  10. In some games, average is not enough to get you any points. In Investing, you can even win with average if you live long enough. But performance without a large population size of who is trying and what they are achieving in the aggregate is meaningless. And I don't think in investing this statistic is so easy to gather like census statistics. At the end of the day, what really matters is the performance in everybody's personal portfolio anyway! If anybody here wants to check every post manually to see whether a post was long or short, feel free to add it to the data, which I made accessible to the public!
  11. Of course! There are a dozen more reasons. Anyhow, I still think it's entertaining to look at ;)
  12. I know - yet another guy who promotes his own blog... However, I think this might be interesting! I scraped all users and posts from this forum and did some analysis. TL;DR: The average return of all posts in the forum underperformed the market. However, some users performed extraordinarily well! A huge thanks to Liz (@ScottHall) for being a tremendous editor! You can find the post here: http://findstox.com/2019/09/15/the-superinvestors-on-the-corner-of-berkshire-and-fairfax/
  13. I am doing some econometric research on bubbles in the SP500. The code is not yet finished and therefore the periods in 2007 and 2015 should not show up. By just analyzing the time series, it seems pretty clear that we are in a bubble right now. However, a minor correction as in December 2018 should suffice to bring my test statistic below the critical value. Edit: Check the attachment!
  14. I guess the best way is through Angel syndicates. You don't have to be an accredited investor for some of those. I recently read Angel by Jason Calacanis. Highly recommended!
  15. Has anybody read Onward? Is it worth a read? http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1605292885/ref=s9_simh_gw_g14_i1_r?ie=UTF8&fpl=fresh&pf_rd_m=ATVPDKIKX0DER&pf_rd_s=desktop-1&pf_rd_r=199TE7FP7K2XKBQ95WTH&pf_rd_t=36701&pf_rd_p=2437869742&pf_rd_i=desktop
  16. I really enjoyed Snowball, Stress Test and We Learn Nothing (useless, but entertaining essays about life). However, I don't recommend the Franklin Biography by Walter Isaacson.
  17. Hey Scott, your lifestyle resonates well with me (even though I still love my bed). I was wondering how you avoid doing things you don't want to do. For example if my parents (or somebody else I am close to) tell me to do something, I will do it, no matter what. Simply saying no doesn't work well neither, because then they seem disappointed and I can't handle that. It's like in the military, except that I have a choice. Any thoughts? Steve
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