I think we need to see what happens in Jan if people take profits from the gainers ...but agree materials, commodities, real estate , some consumer , health care in USA is cheap
lol very interesting .. DOGE wants to automate many things to save cost but Trump doesn't want to at the cost of workers...Will be very interesting term
btw I think Jan there could be a pull back as people take profits in the new year...Followed by a reality check on some companies during the earning season in Jan/Feb
Robi Taxis are also hard to predict unless US is able to bring in sub 10k vehicles from international markets as Tesla and other companies would have to front so much money and then compete with humans for the driving rates...
don't come at me for this one....but what if the dot.com bubble is the current crypto market where right now none of them are actually making money with no use cases...Maybe couple years down the road it could be used in the real world lol...
with 3 month tbills paying over 4% in 401k not really a big losses with all the gains people have made after covid..The biggest problem right now is many stocks are trading at forward multiples at a high or multiples never seen before...The real thing is if DOGE makes the government more efficient that is going to increase unemployment ...There has been so many government jobs created in Biden's term what does this do to the economy ...Also every year something gives some great companies a big discount ...APO went to $90 in August from $120 and then recovered
Once you get confirmable with the shift you can also quit...A lot of people are doing this quite quitting while they work on the side hustle...I think in one of the interviews thats what Mohnish Pabrai said he also did...
Markets are up over 6%+ at the index level in Nov alone lol...Even though I think we are overpriced ...I think this could continue into Dec and Jan might be the time where reality kicks in