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Showing content with the highest reputation on 07/05/2023 in all areas

  1. @UK i will give you a portfolio update as of today. But please note, i am ok with concentrated positions. This strategy has worked well for me for +20 years but it is not for everyone. Please note, I might decide to change my position tomorrow and i will not provide an update. I have no desire to provide daily, weekly or monthly portfolio updates. Because it messes with my head too much (i start to feel responsible for everyone else). People need to do their own research. And come to their own conclusions. And not get overly influenced by what some anonymous blogger is posting. Having got that out of the way, Fairfax has been may largest position since late 2020. ‘The story’ at the company continues to improve every quarter. As a result, despite the incredible run-up, i think the stock is still dirt cheap. So i continue to hold a concentrated position. I consider 30% to be a minimum position for me today (given what i know today). Currently i am at a 45% weighting. And I move around quite a bit (around the edges). I am also 35% cash today. The remainder is split pretty evenly between 3 other buckets: oil, banks and Canadian high yielding dividend stocks. I move around i these holdings quite a bit. ————— If you look at most successful investors most of their outperformance was the result of only a couple of holdings that performed spectacularly well over 5 or 10 years. My view is these turbocharged opportunities only come along every couple of years (something you understand very well that is dirt cheap with catalysts). So when you find one you have to be patient and ride it for as long as possible. Because the next one might be years away. My fear right now with Fairfax isn’t holding too much… it is holding too little. My fear is lightening up (locking in big gains) and then having the stock take off higher on me. My biggest mistake investing is selling my big winners too early. Selling because they went up a lot. And then they kept going higher… My mistake was selling using price as my guide. So i am trying to be more patient in situations where the fundamentals continue to improve - like the situation with Fairfax today. ————— My average return over the past 20 years is 19% per year. Over that 20 year span i have had two down years (of -4% each year). So my strategy works for me. I also spend LOTS of time on investing… because i really enjoy it. People need to figure out their own strategy. Something that fits their knowledge, emotional make-up, situation, interest, time etc. There are no short cuts.
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