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You know what to do, but you have to wait and wait...


Liberty

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FTP?  :'(

 

Nah, I'd be crazy to sell FTP right now. I won't even look at that stock against until LSQ is running at 100%.

 

Agreed. 

 

Sure wish I sold more BAC at $9.7 now (bought more FTP with it)! It's a great example of a less obvious switch. I've also sold some C at $37+ for some more BRK.B. The fact that I don't pay capital taxes helps. Those trades could even look stupid to others (although I still have very big positions in both) but for me it's all a matter of position sizing and adjusting the risk I'm willing to take. There are plenty of factors at play...

 

I assume it gets harder the fewer positions you have because one decision can have a great impact on your return. Maybe spreading you eggs over more baskets (5-6 positions instead of 3 or 4 for example) is something you would be more comfortable with? After all, one can rarely predict wether Position 4 or Position 6 will do better over the long run.

 

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I assume it gets harder the fewer positions you have because one decision can have a great impact on your return. Maybe spreading you eggs over more baskets (5-6 positions instead of 3 or 4 for example) is something you would be more comfortable with? After all, one can rarely predict wether Position 4 or Position 6 will do better over the long run.

 

I think that might happen organically over time, but I don't want to force it. Right now there are 4 companies that I feel very comfortable with and feel like they could be multi-baggers over the next few years, and then maybe a dozen others that I know enough about to have confidence that they should do just fine, but aren't quite to the level of those 4, so I'd rather just concentrate in my tier 1 ideas.

 

I mean, I could add some BRK, LUK, FFH, RLI, WRB, MKL, MA, V and HHC to my portfolio, and I'm pretty sure that all of those will do just fine over the next 5-10 years (if you don't overpay). But for now I feel comfortable being more concentrated, and time will tell if I'm correct or not to do things this way.

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What book is that? Is it the PDF that was linked in the recent WSJ article, or is there an actual book about JMK as an investor? thx. I liked that WSJ article. What it described is similar to my style.

 

http://www.amazon.com/Keynes-Market-Economist-Overturned-Conventional/dp/047028496X/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1333168039&sr=8-3

 

I think you will like book.

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I might post about it at some point, but sometimes I feel like Mr. Market himself reads this board, and if I post about my portfolio, everything's going to drop 20% in a day  :P

 

Ha - good point.  My one stupid post about my GNW long totally called the top in the stock.  :)

 

Good discussion here Liberty.

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What book is that? Is it the PDF that was linked in the recent WSJ article, or is there an actual book about JMK as an investor? thx. I liked that WSJ article. What it described is similar to my style.

 

http://www.amazon.com/Keynes-Market-Economist-Overturned-Conventional/dp/047028496X/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1333168039&sr=8-3

 

I think you will like book.

 

Thanks. One of the amazon reviews kind of scared me off it, but i'll give it znother look.

 

This is the study i was talking about:

 

http://poseidon01.ssrn.com/delivery.php?ID=144069024001068084002121099092099099026013091078022071098085085031114030081114024109016057007032110013117127119103002120080027106033087014022118078100030117065066005087013007085116100072027024065108002&EXT=pdf

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