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SP500 Earnings Estimates Over Time - Interesting Chart


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Thanks for sharing. I enjoy Crestmont's research. I'd like to know more about how they forecast their S&P earnings trend line. Would be interesting to see to determine if I agree with their estimate of earnings.


My main concern for this market has become the occurrence of margin compression on top of multiple compression. Margins could compress by 20-25% easily and multiples could also compress 20-25% easily. The two happening in concurrence (a reflexive type movement for you Soros types) would be pretty ugly. I don't know what the trigger will be to set it off, but I think this year has a lot going for it to get the process started.

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