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Buffett_Groupie

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Everything posted by Buffett_Groupie

  1. The gains from CDS aren't unlimited whereas the losses from equity hedges are unlimited, right?
  2. Risk management means paying a premium to buy insurance to limit the risk and if the risk doesn't materialize, you'll lose the premium only and not the exposure to unlimited losses like a direct short, right?
  3. @SafetyinNumbersPlease explain how an investment can be positioned well for both "an increase or decrease in rates", it's like saying both the casino and the gamblers are making money on each transaction, right?
  4. Congratulations! You folks are so smart and brilliant to time the purchase impeccably well in 2020 whereas I had to endure 23 years of pain and suffering before capturing the same gains in the most recent 5 years. But then again, Charlie Munger said without suffering, any decent gain is grossly undeserving because the world isn't a crazy enough place, yet, to reward a bunch of undeserving people. LOL Hence, one should deliberately bring on more pain to make it more deserving
  5. "aiming for something like 6 out of 10 investments being ok and 2-3 being superb, with 1-2 duds." only works if each investment is equally weighted, but in practice, it never happens, right?
  6. Surprised how subdued the market reacted in terms of the share price despite the outstanding results
  7. @Viking Will this be appropriate? Engine 1: Insurance and Reinsurance Engine 2: Investment: Fixed income, public and private equity (Seaspan, Eurobank, ...) Engine 3: Non-Insurance: Wholly-owned businesses (Recipe, Sleep Country, Peak Performance, ...)
  8. It's important to attend https://www.stingyinvestor.com/FairfaxWeek2026.html in person each year to reinforce our own commitment/confirmation bias with folks of similar belief for more social proof and group-think Delayed gratification is the willingness to look foolish and wrong for more than 23 out of the 28 years of being a shareholder before becoming lucky: https://vimeo.com/1062974002/cffcbcce7f
  9. I'm only looking forward to comments from Viking and SafetyInNumbers
  10. Hope Under Armour isn’t another Reitmans (Reitmans、RW&CO、PENNINGTON)
  11. Eurobank and Stelco come to my mind
  12. would Seaspan be part of Engine 2 or Engine 3?
  13. no mention of Seaspan?
  14. 3 streams of income just like Berkshire Hathaway: 1) insurance and reinsurance 2) investment 3) non-insurance
  15. The table shows Mr. Market gives zero respect to the company with the highest ROE and lowest P/B & P/E among major P&C insurers, right?
  16. Anyone could've averaged down and bought more over the years, though. Unfortunately, I'm not qualified or good enough to be a professional investor. My day job has been running an IT consulting company (see attached) since 1995 (yes, it's been 30 years despite constant decline in the last 2 decades, which is a reminiscence of some guy's textile operation except he's smart to pivot after 20 years whereas I'm still stuck in the lousy business). AJC & Associates Inc. Profile.pdf
  17. I first bought it in 1998 at $498/share and thought it's bargain because the high was close to $700.
  18. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/article-marval-capital-ben-watsa-india-trump-trade/
  19. The best investment is BlackBerry because it's the best lesson learned not to repeat such investment.
  20. First time, I have heard of BRK trading in Canadian dollars beginning Feb 6, 2025: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BRK.TO/
  21. Fill in the blanks : Date FFH.TO share price October 31, 1986 $3.25 1987 $10.00 1995 $100.00 1996 $200.00 1996 $300.00 1997 $400.00 1998 $500.00 1999 $600.00 2015 $700.00 2022 $800.00 2023 $900.00 2023 $1,000.00 2024 $2,000.00 ?? $3,000.00 ?? $4,000.00 ?? $5,000.00 ?? $10,000.00 ?? $100,000.00
  22. Fill in the blanks : Date BRK.A share price May 10, 1965 $15.00 1977 $100.00 1983 $1,000.00 1992 $10,000.00 2006 $100,000.00 2014 $200,000.00 2017 $300,000.00 2021 $400,000.00 2022 $500,000.00 2024 $600,000.00 2024 $700,000.00 2025 $800,000.00 ?? $900,000.00 ?? $1,000,000.00
  23. My serious misunderstanding of Buffett's so-called "Be greedy when others are fearful": On the first day when I saw the stock price fell, I quickly bought it, thinking it was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. The next day, the price fell even more, but I wasn't worried because Buffett once said, "Be greedy when others are fearful," so I continued to buy. However, on the third day, the price fell again and others are still fearful, but I didn't have any money left, so I became fearful, too. Later, I realized that the difference between me and Buffett isn't the lack of understanding of value investing, it's the LACK of MONEY LOL
  24. "In Canada, there is only one company that we can find that has a better track record than us over the past 39 years – and it is significantly better – and I am not going to tell you who!" Which company?
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