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wescobrk

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Posts posted by wescobrk

  1. Except for a special situation, I can't find any bargains.

    I have a full time job so won't be twiddling my thumbs, but when it comes to investments my time looks like it will be better spent watching movies, breaking bad, and some reading for the next few weeks/months until we get another buying opportunity.

     

    Anyone else finding anything to buy?

  2. I agree that Obama is seeing this as useful.

    I think he is extrapolating from 95-96 when it helped Clinton.

    I agree default chance is zero as well.

     

    I know Lew is exaggerating with the Oct 17th deadline, maybe i'm naive, but I think there will be a deal regarding the debt ceiling by Oct 18th.

    They can pass the debt ceiling but the government can continue to be shut down, right? They can pass the debt ceiling but not the CR.

    I see that as a more likely situation.

  3. So the government asks Jpm to buy bear and wamu and then they turn around and sue them.

    There is an 11 billion number in the news to settle.

    We are almost 6 years and still litigating.

    Anyone have an idea how much longer this can last?

  4. I like Bruce but the mini Berkshire statement doesn't make any sense to me.

    From 65-75 Buffett bought some insurance companies and made a fortune buying marketable securities for Berkshire in its first 10 years.

    Eddie has had 10 years and he hasn't bought companies he has divested, furthermore he has lost money for shareholders buying marketable securities.

  5. So is the whole point of this that Biglari is upset that no one can figure out the financials due to the consolidation of his investment partnership and this makes the financials "clean" again? He'll go from having a $415 million market cap with $400 million in BV to $440.5 million in BV even though nothing has changed"

     

    Market cap is almost 600 million. There still are 1.43 million shares outstanding.

  6. If my understanding is correct all investments (partial ownership) will be managed through the Lion Fund I & II.

    Sardar bought back the General Partner ownership, so he will earn the 25% above 6% hurdle rate, with no maximum cap.

    Moreover the old incentive agreement will be applicable only to the book value of the operating subsidaries (excluding the Lion Fund).

     

    Full disclosure: BH is 5% of my PTF. "

     

    I haven't had a chance to read it. It seems to be a bit obscure for the average shareholder to figure iut especially since this is the third iteration.

    I got the part about no cap and saw the new 13d with cracker barrel going to lion fund 2.

    What happens with the change in book value of steak n shake and future subsidiary's? Does sardar still get up to 10 million for that too?

  7. I can't find the original thread so I created a new one.

    It's kind of funny about the tbv milestone was reached for  only a few days to fall below (about 3% in pre market).

    Obviously this is what markets do but still amusing after so much focus on BAC reaching it.

    Moynihan is probably still sucking his thumb and hasn't bought back all the stock yet so he can buy more today.

  8. At this rate, Sanjeev is going to be out a lot of money.  He already is going to owe me $1 at the end of the year when BAC doesn't pay out $7 bil or more on the common.  A pint too?  Better pick some good stocks!"

     

    Why wait till the end of the year? I'm still not clear on returning more capital under ccar. Can they reapply and buy back more common in sept or do they have to wait till march for ccar?

     

    If the former isn't correct, why not pay up now?

     

    Thanks!

  9. I second that. Where the hell did they get 30% from? Maybe next time it's 15% or nothing if it's a hated bank stock.

     

    Essentially there is an arbitrary put on all stocks from the regulators. The problem is there is no way to value the put. That will impede efficient allocation of capital. No doubt about that.

  10. As shown in the share count chart I attached above, the 1,433,716 is before you back out shares owned by the Lion Fund. BH common shareholders own $50.7 million of the $104 million fund and subtracting their proportion of BH share which are owned by the Lion Fund leads to the share count of 1,333,990.

     

     

    That makes sense or you can use 1.43 and back it out like Sardar argued.

     

    I still think market cap is an unadjusted number and I would still start with 1.43 then use analysis why it should be adjusted.

     

    This still doesn't explain why Jonathan heller is using 1.2 million shares. Wtf?

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