PJM

Capitaline.com (closest to Valueline) Screener.in Trendlyne.com Tijorfinance.com

I'm in London as well and would love to meet up with everyone, but unfortunately am away from 14-29th Oct. Hopefully next time.

I don't know the tax implications for US residents but in India tax (capital gains and dividend) will be deducted at source. Also, as far as I know only Indian nationals or OCI holders are eligible to buy Indian stocks directly through IB or any other broker unless you go through FPI route which is complicated for individuals.

There is none. For all company related filings and announcement you can look at the exchanges https://www.nseindia.com/companies-listing/corporate-filings-application For new IPO prospectus you can look at SEBI site https://www.sebi.gov.in/sebiweb/home/HomeAction.do?doListing=yes&sid=3&ssid=15&smid=10 You can also check out screener.in which is a pretty good portal for scanning through all companies

As said before, the liquidity driving Indian markets have shifted from foreign investors to domestic investors. Here is the latest data DII inflows v/s FII outflows: DII flows into equities in CY22 were the highest ever at USD32.2b v/s inflows of USD12.1b in CY21. With just one year of outflows since CY16, DIIs have invested USD80.5b cumulatively over the last seven years. Conversely, FIIs witnessed equity outflows of USD17b after three consecutive years of inflows. During the last seven years, FIIs have invested USD30.4b cumulatively in the Indian market, with only two years of outflows. India is not immune to global headwinds but some of the global headwinds maybe balanced by domestic tailwinds. The Indian corporate profit to GDP has improved to 4.5% but still very low and has room to improve further especially since the corporate balance sheet has been unlevered dramatically with corporate debt to GDP at 62.7%

Have to disagree here. Any hard evidence or is it just an opinion? As for money flow, I believe India would do fine even without influx of money from foreign investors. I think the Indian markets have shifted from depending on FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) to domestic inflow. You can see from the changing shareholding pattern of Indian companies. Money in India is slowly moving in financial assets but has a long way to go. Again just look at the mutual fund, equity custodian data etc. As for the underlying economy, apart from the domestic economy and associated growth, you can see a clear instances of some manufacturing shifting from China to India in sectors such as chemicals, pharma etc for many reasons, but pre-dominantly as global companies diversify their sourcing and dependance on China. Of course all this will take time but just an example - India exports $2b worth of APIs and China exports $20b, so a 10% shift means India can double the exports. There are many such categories, sectors and industries. To top it all, there is a strong government and leader (PM Modi) who is consistently bringing reforms that will provide boast to the economy. Of course, from my perspective thats the biggest risk as well. I agree that valuations looked stretched at index level but that has to do with scarcity premium and market structures, however as that evolves it will provide broader investment opportunities.

I agree that if you are planning to buy the largest blue-chip companies, you would be better off buying the Nifty index or a large-cap mutual fund. Indian investment should be more growth focussed. I think the real juice is within NSE 500 companies as you go into the mid-cap and small-cap companies that are leaders within their category. They are benefitting from many tailwinds such as domestic consumption, macro economic growth, govt led spending, exports (china+1 and now europe+1) and most importantly migration from unorganised to organised. Many of these companies are run by technocrats and founder led management who is growth focussed. They are not only penetrating deeper within their own categories but expanding into lateral categories. Examples of such industries is Plastic pipes, pharma, chemicals, exchanges etc. The financial sector is also looking very good now after years of pain and cleaning up the books. Many banks have large provisions on their balance sheet, have good deposit growth rates and finally credit growth is coming back. These three factors together will create massive tailwind, at least for next few years. Read some of the recent commentary from veterans such as HDFC Bank, ICICI and Kotak to understand how banking sector is in a very sweet spot.

Most so-called blue-chip companies in India has huge scarcity premium. They are always the obvious candidates for coffee-can portfolio, if you are comfortable with the valuations. A strategy that has worked in India is to create a a long-term portfolio of sector leaders as they are able t grow above 12-13% nominal GDP plus take market share consistently from unorganised to organised which got accelerated since GST. Examples Asian Paints, Titan, Astral, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Divi's Lab, Pidilite, HDFC Life, TCS, Infosys etc. Again a lot of them are already at stretched valuations. Bear in mind that the cost of trading, taxes and consistent INR depreciation (approx 4.5% annually since 1970's) one needs to generate at least 12-14% to get 5-7% USD denominated.

I've been investing directly in India since 2014. Am also in the midst of setting of PMS. Let me know if you have any specific qsts.

ATCO as an arb trade

Hi - 30% WHT is correct for countries that has no treaty. MY Hong Kong accounts face the same 30% tax. Unfortunately there is no way to get credit or reclaim it as far as I know.

HSFC bank has already released an official statement about the acquisition on the exchanges of India, so this is a done deal. https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/820282e0-d42c-44a5-a2a9-eb5a160b93e1.pdf

The investment from HDFC Bank values the life insurance part of Digit at $62-80m https://www.business-standard.com/article/finance/hdfc-bank-invests-in-ipo-bound-general-insurance-firm-go-digit-122082500912_1.html Private sector bank major HDFC Bank on Thursday said it has entered into an indicative and non-binding term sheet with Go Digit Life Insurance Ltd. The bank will invest ₹49.9 crore to ₹69.9 crore in two tranches to acquire up to 9.94% equity stake in the company.

Higher rates will impact the public debts immensely. Currently 25% of US govt debt needs to be rolled over in next 1 year and 60% (around 14t) of US govt debt will need to be rolled over in next 4 years. A 1% increase in interest rate raises the interest burden by 140b just on the short term maturing debt, creating substantial fiscal deficit. The CBO is already projecting a deficit of 4% annually for next 10 years without factoring in the higher rates. Foreign demand for US treasuries have shrunk dramatically in last decade. Only 12% of total increase in US debt since 2014 has been purchased by foreigners. So the tough choices are - fiscal consolidation (higher taxes and lower public spending) which does not seem to be popular path with the politicians or financing the debt by the FED which means money supply putting pressure on inflation and the currency. Historically inflation has never been tamed without tough fiscal measures which is completely missing currently, so the FED actions will not have meaningful impact unless accompanied by tough fiscal measures.

Brexit and Ukraine crisis has and will push the inflation up sharply and in turn put a severe dent on affordability. Interest rates will move up (already 3 rate hikes done by BOE) making mortgage payments difficult for homeowners. Many homebuyers are still on interest only mortgages, and they will be squeezed severely. Though there is pressure on the govt. to keep home prices afloat, there is higher pressure to bring down inflation. In last few years, there has been a short supply of inventory in the markets - many sellers stayed away from selling due to rising prices as they didn't want to give up any upside. As demand falls due to rising interest rates, one may see a sudden supply coming the market as sellers rush to capture the higher prices. Not sure if there will be any sharp fall in the prices, but doubt that the run will continue.