wachtwoord
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One of the Greatest Investment Opportunities...
wachtwoord replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Enbridge? -
If the downgrades cause a significant retreat in share price I will increase my position.
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To my mind it makes sense that the collection of large moat companies is weighted heavily towards larger companies, merely by how moats are defined. Am I wrong in this?
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Not directly, but I do place a very high value in the Morningstar's moat analysis when choosing to invest in a stock and used the holdings of these funds as investment ideas.
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Economic Goodwill and your business eye - what do you decide?
wachtwoord replied to anders's topic in General Discussion
Could you explain the advantage of A in years of inflation specifically? I would but Buffett does a better job than I could; check out the 1983 Berkshire Annual report. At the end he attaches an appendix called Goodwill and its Amortization: Rules and Realities. It is a financial masterpiece. Okay thanks I'll do that :) -
Economic Goodwill and your business eye - what do you decide?
wachtwoord replied to anders's topic in General Discussion
Could you explain the advantage of A in years of inflation specifically? -
Do you hedge currency exposure for foreign stocks?
wachtwoord replied to matjone's topic in General Discussion
Sorry, it stands for "too long didn't read" (summary). -
Do you hedge currency exposure for foreign stocks?
wachtwoord replied to matjone's topic in General Discussion
I think it's the opposite. I am a Dutch citizen and am therefore strongly tied primarily to the Dutch and secondarily to the European economy. Investing in US stocks is a very nice way to diversify I think. Please also note that for multinationals the issue is moot and you'd have to look at the origin of their income. If a stock which is exchanged on a European exchange in Euro's has 80% of its income and revenue from the US market there is far less currency risk (for American's) than for a stock which is traded on the NYSE but has 80% of its cost and revenue in Europe. TLDR; 1) It's a nice way to diversify, 2) The currency the stock ticker trades in is irrelevant -
I posted a reply here and attached an image but I guess it's too big (16 MB). Anyway as I was saying: Nice post, thanks! I always like these presentations. I always liked the linked image as it zooms out from the Earth, through our solar system, through our galaxy, through our cluster and supercluster to the observable universe. Enjoy :) http://www1.datafilehost.com/d/abc26b3e
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MSFT 19.34 CSCO 9.81 INTC 8.38 BBY 6.63 ARO 6.36 DELL 6.09 EXC 6.00 JNJ 5.56 NVS 4.71 WU 4.03 SD 3.97 NOV 3.68 CHL 3.66 AZN 3.37 NOK 3.24 BBRY 3.00 BAMM 2.16 I'm currently contemplating letting go of BBY and am looking into ENB and CHRW.
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I Made $570K Last Year, But I Don’t Feel Rich
wachtwoord replied to mrvlad0's topic in General Discussion
You also might be earning $500k from your labors, but if you neighbor "earns" $500k from passive income while hiking the National Parks that is an entirely different meaning of rich. If I'd be making over $500k (gross) a year I would be there pretty damn quick. If he isn't, he's doing it wrong. -
I use IB and also use their "Enhanced yield program". I like their low rates and no holding charges. I don't pay for the data feed, as I am not a trader but a long term holder and therefore don't need it (the delayed feed is fine). In my experience the enhanced yield program has produced generously more than the $10 per month I need to pay, but of course this will depend on the particular stocks you hold (short interest and prices for lending differ a lot) and the size of your portfolio (however my portfolio size is quite modest to what I expect most people here to hold, if you like to know PM me). Finally, I read all sorts of negative things about customer support and don't share this sympathy. To me, support has always been swift in responding and as long as you take the time to properly explain things you get correct answers.
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I always use that for investment ideas! I love the Morningstar moat ratings and hold quite a few companies in that ETF. The reason I don't hold the ETF outright is that I find it hard to determine when an ETF is under/over-valued. If I would buy it I would dollar-cost average into it to try and mitigate the risk of buying to high.
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Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
The only thing you are right about that could be improved is privacy. (Basically Bitcoin has no anonymity other than the decoupling of Bitcoin addresses and identities). Furthermore, the crypto-currency Ripple is not an improvement over Bitcoinn. The "Ripples: are owned by the company which created it. They are handing them out for free for now but there is an active market for it. Further it is centralized and not secure due to the absence of mining. Ripple as a p2p IOU system (so ignoring the ccurrency) could be very nice, but that's not a competitor for Bitcoin. -
Any rational individual would choose minimum variance when the expected value is a given. Risk is something that should be paid for. Did they find people without a gambling addiction and reasonable education that picked anything else but the third option? :o
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Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
Amazon coins isn't even something closely resembling Bitcoin. These are just US Dollars (literally). Google once considered creating something related to bitcoin (before Bitcoin) but didn't because the legal mess this would bring. -
Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
And I hear that Indian brides are demanding bitcoin jewelry for the weddings instead of gold :P Most forms of currency have some form of intrinsic value. Gold can be used for jewelry. Cigarettes can be smoked. Dollar bills can be used to pay taxes to the government. The only way a currency with no intrinsic value can establish itself is through a huge entity like a government or massive corporation providing it with value by excepting it in exchange. Gold wouldn't be valued at 1% of the current price if it was for use in jewelry and industrial usage alone. -
Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
That's gold. Bitcoin is an improvement over gold (e.g. fungiblity, not fakeable, fast/cheap/easy movable and truly limited) but trades for a 0.03% valuation (@ $200 a BTC, it's quite swingy) compared to gold. Buying BTC for an increase in value is a speculation because there is no good which will ever produce anything. However it is truly undervalued so buying and waiting for the market to correct itself can be highly profitable. -
I find this a very good question and a very difficult thing to decide on. I have this problem with JNJ (bough @59.05) and NVS (bought @ 54.27 1 year ago). Both are very stable companies with nice moats but their valuation is now fair (I do not believe they are overvalued yet). For now I decided to just hold until a 30% overvaluation occurred but I'm very curious for other people's opinions on this as my motivation for this decision isn't completely solid.
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It isn't fair to use taxes in these comparisons as these are different per jurisdiction (also you conveniently left out US capital gains tax in scenario 2). I pay 0% dividend-tax and, 0% capital gains tax. In the Netherlands we pay 30% tax on a fictive 4% yield on your net worth minus ~21k euros (so if I lose money I still pay this ;)). I can fully deduct foreignly withheld dividend taxes (to avoid double taxation).
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Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
MTGox is the biggest exchange atm and still has 61% of the exchange market (this has been much higher): http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/volumepie/ This will change in time (and is changing). The same is occurring with mining pools: http://blockchain.info/pools?timespan=4days -
Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
Only full nodes need to store the full blockchain (I run a full node) and the blockchain is only ~8GB. It won't really be a problem. Also, the illegal content in the blockchain might be a problem although I do not believe a judge is going to convict anyone of child pornography possession if it is included in the blockchain and millions of people have it on their computers for a completely different purpose. Please read https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Weaknesses for a summary of all weaknesses, discussion of things that are unlikely to be weaknesses and pure myths. -
Do you think Bitcoin is a safe store of value?
wachtwoord replied to mikazo's topic in General Discussion
Since I discovered Bitcoin 2 years ago I have really liked the concept of a cryptocurrency. I believe in time one or more cryptocurrencies will replace fiat currencies. And no, cryptocurrencies aren't even remotely comparable to e-gold, if you believe that you haven't investigated it sufficiently. I would recommend anyone to read http://evoorhees.blogspot.nl/2012/04/bitcoin-libertarian-introduction.html And I'm not buying any at $90 as well, mainly because I find it impossible to value them (therefore they likely don't belong on a value investors forum as it's speculative at any price). -
Thanks for the discussions in this thread, they helped me in my analysis of what I think is a great investment. I initiated a position today @ $66.32.
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As predicted, market move was frothy
wachtwoord replied to moore_capital54's topic in General Discussion
OMG! I have been investing for years, but never knew what I was doing. I was floating in a sea of despair. I knew I was searching for the right way to invest, but the fact that I didn't know what I was looking for made it that much harder to find. They say when the student is ready the teacher will appear. And here you are. Look at this treasure trove. Don't time the market. Check. Buy a high value wide moat business! Check . . . um, could you perhaps explain this "wide moat" concept? Also, you mention "the intelligent investor". What is that? Who wrote it? Thanks very much! Haha lol ;D I figured it would have been clear referring to the most-well known value investing book ever was meant jokingly. Perhaps I should have stopped after the first sentence. However the point I made stands. Tomorrow the market will either be flat, go up or go down ;)