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oscarazocar

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  1. Brett, I enjoyed the book, you did a great job covering the important information in a concise manner. I recall seeing somewhere (maybe Twitter) a few years back that small cap stocks did extremely well in the 1950's/1960's, the period covering much of the Buffett Partnership years. I don't know how that was measured or if any small-cap indexes existed at the time. Did you come across anything like this while researching the book? Thanks.
  2. Which service do you subscribe to? https://investors.valueline.com/equities/digital-equities-services
  3. What about the digital booklets do you like? Is it like the paper copies but in a clean online form? Thanks.
  4. The slides below are from a Dhando Zero Fee Fund presentation from 2021 Q3. They show comparisons between three funds (Dhandho Zero Fee Fund, India Small Cap Index, and S&P 500) over two periods, 10/1/17 to 3/31/20 and 4/1/20 to 9/31/21. The slides show the Dhandho fund slightly underperforming the India Small Cap Index from 10/1/17 to 3/31/20 and then hugely outperforming the S&P 500 from 4/1/20 to 9/31/21. After looking at the slides, what was the total perfomance of the funds over the combined periods? Combined performance: Dhandho India Fund: 10/1/17-3/31/20: -52.5% 4/1/20-9/31/21: 119% Total: 3% (not shown in slide) India Small Cap: 10/1/17-3/31/20: -48.3% 4/1/20-9/31/21: 195% (not shown in slides) Total: 52% (not shown in slides) S&P 500: 10/1/17-3/31/20: 6% (not shown in slides) 4/1/20-9/31/21: 70.6% Total: 81% (not shown in slides) Do you think that the slides as shown are a reasonable way to compare the perfomances of the three funds?
  5. There is no federal inheritance tax in the U.S. 6 states have inheritance taxes: Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Nebraska, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, that range from from 1% to 16% with various thresholds. https://www.cnbc.com/select/what-is-inheritance-tax/ Say you have a wealth parent and their child living 20 minutes away from each other right across state lines in the NYC suburbs . If the parent lived in NY and the child lived in NJ, they would be hit by both NY estate tax and NJ inheritance tax. If the locations were switched and the parent lived in NJ and the child lived in NY, there would be neither. The vagaries of the tax system - this impacted a friend recently.
  6. ITEX is a good example of a tiny company like this that has worked reasonably well. It trades on OTC, it's a weird little business that's basically a platform for barter exchange. Market cap is around $8 million, it has over $4.5 million net cash, has earned around $1 million EBIT per year going back on $6 million revenue, slowly shrinking, paying $1/share dividend per year now, has paid $3/share in dividends since 2019, stock was available around $4/share at various points over past 5 years. Chairman owns a big chunk (Sardar Biglari owns a piece too as a minority holder). For most of the period from 2019-2023, it has traded around 1x EBIT. Dividend bumped from $0.20/yr to $1.00/yr last year. I don't see why you shouldn't invest in a company like this if you are comfortable with the business.
  7. I donate to Rails-To-Trails Conservancy and think they do outstanding work that has a huge positive impact on communities around the country. They are the main lobbying group that works with federal/state/city agencies to promote the building of public bike/walking trails, often through conversion of dormant rail lines. They have a terrific website and magazine (I think quarterly) that highlights their work. https://www.railstotrails.org/about/ https://www.charitynavigator.org/ein/521437006
  8. Buffett has spoken very highly of 3G: https://www.reuters.com/article/business/buffett-says-willing-to-partner-with-3g-again-on-very-large-deals-idUSBREA42096/ "I think 3G does a magnificent job of running businesses," Buffett said at Berkshire's annual meeting. "We're very likely to partner with them, perhaps on some things that are very large." https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/10/business/dealbook/warren-buffett-jorge-paulo-lemann-brazil-conference.html Then, Mr. Lemann’s 3G Capital and Mr. Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway teamed up to acquire H.J. Heinz for $23 billion. Two years later, 3G Capital, again together with Mr. Buffett, merged Heinz with Kraft Foods. “I consider it one of the largest mistakes in my life that we didn’t really team up as partners until considerably later,” Mr. Buffett acknowledged Saturday night, but that since doing deals together, “he and I are on the same wavelength.”
  9. I have had this issue for a week and it makes the site pretty much unusable as I can only see the very recent commentary.
  10. This is a quote from a 2007 student visit to Omaha: Question 2: GEICO is one of Berkshire’s crown jewels. You know the auto insurance industry cold, and you have been extolling the virtues of the GEICO and Progressive business models for decades. Why haven’t you ever taken a stake in Progressive? Essentially, "thumb-sucking". That is what his partner Charlie Munger calls it when they identify opportunities in their circle of competence and fail to pull the trigger. Buying one didn’t preclude buying the other. He immensely admires Peter Lewis, the longtime CEO of Progressive. He asks the question of CEO’s – if you had a silver bullet and could kill one of your competitors, who would it be? For GEICO, Buffett would his silver bullet, and all the rest of his ammo, shooting Progressive. Years ago [presumably in the early 1980’s], they were briefly looking at putting the two companies together. He joked that each CEO, Jack Byrne of GEICO and Peter Lewis, would each come to him and report that negotiations were moving along, only that each was under the impression that he was gong to be the CEO of the combined company. Buffett told the story of his initial involvement with GEICO as a Columbia student. It was obvious to him in 1951 that GEICO would do very well for a very long time. Everyone hates buying car insurance, but they are forced to, and a good chunk of them will go with the low-cost provider. Buffett mentioned that GEICO now has a slightly better position than Progressive [due to a lower cost structure, I believe], but that the two of them will be duking it out and both will gain share for a long time. When the internet hit, Progressive actually had an edge for awhile. Because they had no direct distribution up to that point, they were quicker to seize on the internet as their direct distribution channel. GEICO had been so successful with its direct mail and phone strategy that those institutional forces vested in the old systems prevented it from shifting to the internet nearly as quickly as it should have. Buffett eventually had to lock them in a room and tell them they couldn’t come out until they had a viable internet strategy.
  11. Berkshire has had stakes in a number of companies they then acquired: GEICO, BNSF, Precision Castparts.
  12. Why wouldn't he exercise the options and sell the stock? One wouldn't normally do that, but this is a highly unusual case, and the "intrinsic value" of the options doesn't seem terribly relevant here given the dynamics. He dominates the GME options market, everyone knows exactly what he owns, and his selling would crater the price. If he exercised the options and blew out of the 12m shares at $32.50/share, that's $150 million in the till, and he could actually do it. Not bad for a day's work.
  13. How do you know he hasn't exited the call position? Some cursory browsing indicates that the open interest is recalculated once each day. If he exercised the options and sold the stock, would we know that now or would we have to wait until the open interest is updated?
  14. https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/kuppy-comments-about-spacs.357294/
  15. Dataroma has a good search site for insider buys that shows a running list of form 4 info and you can filter for various things. https://www.dataroma.com/m/ins/ins.php?t=m&po=1&am=10000&sym=&o=fd&d=d
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