racemize Posted August 8, 2012 Share Posted August 8, 2012 I've been working through various tax implications on my portfolio and found this: http://www.watheeqa.com/App_Themes/watheeqa/pdf/Lessons%20from%20Warren%20Buffett%20l%20Tweedy%20Brown.pdf it is old and pretty basic, so probably no one needs it. Nonetheless, it may be useful to a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
racemize Posted August 9, 2012 Author Share Posted August 9, 2012 This actually ended up being pretty great, as I finish reading it. Here's a link to "Great 10 Year Record = Great Future Right?" which is cited in the prior paper: http://www.legend-financial.com/files/Great%2010-Year%20Record%20Great%20Future,%20Right.pdf I'm looking forward to reading that one next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beerbaron Posted August 11, 2012 Share Posted August 11, 2012 Quote from Buffett: And once you’ve estimated future cash inflows and outflows, what interest rate do you use to discount that number back to arrive at a present value? My own feeling is that the long-term government rate is probably the most appropriate figure for most assets. That would mean a P/E of 36! And when Charlie and I felt subjectively that interest rates were on the low side — we’d probably be less inclined to be willing to sign up for that long-term government rate. We might add a point or two just generally. But the logic would drive you to use the long-term government rate. That would mean a PE of 21... much more realistic. Still, lots of room on the macro side judging from Buffett's simple equation. BeerBaron Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MVP444300 Posted August 11, 2012 Share Posted August 11, 2012 I normally use a discount number that is several basis points above the long-term US Govt bonds. Recently I've been using 8 or 9, sometimes even higher depending on how risky I think the company is as an investment. What discount rate do board members normally use? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
racemize Posted August 11, 2012 Author Share Posted August 11, 2012 I normally use a discount number that is several basis points above the long-term US Govt bonds. Recently I've been using 8 or 9, sometimes even higher depending on how risky I think the company is as an investment. What discount rate do board members normally use? I just leave mine at 10 and adjust the margin of safety to the company. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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