racemize Posted August 8, 2012 Posted August 8, 2012 I've been working through various tax implications on my portfolio and found this: http://www.watheeqa.com/App_Themes/watheeqa/pdf/Lessons%20from%20Warren%20Buffett%20l%20Tweedy%20Brown.pdf it is old and pretty basic, so probably no one needs it. Nonetheless, it may be useful to a few.
racemize Posted August 9, 2012 Author Posted August 9, 2012 This actually ended up being pretty great, as I finish reading it. Here's a link to "Great 10 Year Record = Great Future Right?" which is cited in the prior paper: http://www.legend-financial.com/files/Great%2010-Year%20Record%20Great%20Future,%20Right.pdf I'm looking forward to reading that one next.
beerbaron Posted August 11, 2012 Posted August 11, 2012 Quote from Buffett: And once you’ve estimated future cash inflows and outflows, what interest rate do you use to discount that number back to arrive at a present value? My own feeling is that the long-term government rate is probably the most appropriate figure for most assets. That would mean a P/E of 36! And when Charlie and I felt subjectively that interest rates were on the low side — we’d probably be less inclined to be willing to sign up for that long-term government rate. We might add a point or two just generally. But the logic would drive you to use the long-term government rate. That would mean a PE of 21... much more realistic. Still, lots of room on the macro side judging from Buffett's simple equation. BeerBaron
MVP444300 Posted August 11, 2012 Posted August 11, 2012 I normally use a discount number that is several basis points above the long-term US Govt bonds. Recently I've been using 8 or 9, sometimes even higher depending on how risky I think the company is as an investment. What discount rate do board members normally use?
racemize Posted August 11, 2012 Author Posted August 11, 2012 I normally use a discount number that is several basis points above the long-term US Govt bonds. Recently I've been using 8 or 9, sometimes even higher depending on how risky I think the company is as an investment. What discount rate do board members normally use? I just leave mine at 10 and adjust the margin of safety to the company.
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