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U.S. Payrolls are Weak for May


JEast
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US payrolls for the month of May came in around 130k.  The rule of thumb is payrolls need to expand around 200k per month or the economy is going nowhere.  Businesses are making money, but it does not appear that the economy is going to rebound this year.  I would assume that this is the reason the bond market is making lows.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hiring-trend-for-private-payrolls-slows-down-adp-2012-05-31?dist=beforebell

 

Cheers

JEast

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US payrolls for the month of May came in around 130k.  The rule of thumb is payrolls need to expand around 200k per month or the economy is going nowhere.  Businesses are making money, but it does not appear that the economy is going to rebound this year.  I would assume that this is the reason the bond market is making lows.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hiring-trend-for-private-payrolls-slows-down-adp-2012-05-31?dist=beforebell

 

Cheers

JEast

 

 

That's a 10% gain over April's number.  We'll be adding over 500k jobs per month a year from now given this month-over-month pace of improvement.

 

 

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I thought the payroll data was worrisome, but did not expect the 30-year to move 20bp over the fact.  Is this just headline noise or is the market telling us something?  Maybe our deflation derivatives via Fairfax have moved a little closer back to par now :)

 

Cheers

JEast

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US payrolls for the month of May came in around 130k.  The rule of thumb is payrolls need to expand around 200k per month or the economy is going nowhere.  Businesses are making money, but it does not appear that the economy is going to rebound this year.  I would assume that this is the reason the bond market is making lows.

 

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/hiring-trend-for-private-payrolls-slows-down-adp-2012-05-31?dist=beforebell

 

Cheers

JEast

 

 

That's a 10% gain over April's number.  We'll be adding over 500k jobs per month a year from now given this month-over-month pace of improvement.

 

 

Not sure where you get a 10% gain from. Total nonfarm payroll employment in May was up 69,000,  in April the increase was revised to +77,000.  Here is a link to today's report...

 

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

 

cheers

Zorro

 

 

 

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