Guest cherzeca Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Your odds are 1 to 84 quadrilion. Good luck. so you're saying, there's a chance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jurgis Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Your odds are 1 to 84 quadrilion. Good luck. No. Jackpot odds are 1:302,575,350 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mega_Millions With current jackpot and even considering that jackpot is nominal value of annual installments, so real jackpot is ~1/2, the expected value of $2 ticket is positive assuming a single winner. (Calcs: 1.6B jackpot ~= 800m cash jackpot, $2x302M to buy all tickets = $604M, btw this can be done for cheaper since there's also "Just the Jackpot" option for $1.5.) However, unless you buy significant percentage of tickets, which is close to impossible, you're likely not gonna realize that positive expected value. And the chance of more than one winner is non-negligible assuming investor group(s) start buying significant number of tickets, so your expected value becomes negative (jackpot split in 2 would result in cost of 1.5$x302 = 450M$ vs payout of 400M$) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DooDiligence Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 I'm buying 2 tickets on the way to a beachside study session. (hedging my bet by keeping up with class work.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Hjorth Posted October 20, 2018 Share Posted October 20, 2018 Sometimes, you're just such a jerk, because of where you live. [11o C here.] Please kiss your mom! - Twice! - From me and you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DooDiligence Posted October 21, 2018 Share Posted October 21, 2018 Sometimes, you're just such a jerk, because of where you live. [11o C here.] Please kiss your mom! - Twice! - From me and you! Ice & snow are really pretty too. Smooch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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