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Thelilyinvestor

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Posts posted by Thelilyinvestor

  1. If you read his letters all the way from 2008, you can see various phases:

     

    1) 2008-2014 Deep Value coming out of the financial crisis, focused on financials and small caps

    2) 2015-2019 High Quality Companies 

    3) 2019-2022 Future High Quality Companies

     

    I find that he is a great investor to study as he is open in his letters, speaking about what he is learning about + his investing thesis on each new investment, which I believe is a great insight for those investors who like to "clone" other investors.

     

    Almost all of his investments have crashed in the last 3 months, so could be an interesting hunting ground.

     

    Just my opinion 🙂

  2. 2 hours ago, gfp said:

    Bloomberg canada published an update on Berkshire's investment in Japanese trading houses - no pay wall for me at least:

    https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/buffett-strikes-gold-as-japan-trading-houses-see-record-profits-1.1717712

     

    Just sharing a personal experience here, maybe someone can find it interesting: 

     

    I had a look at these when the news broke that Buffett had invested in the sogo sosha, and bought Itochu (8001), for the last 24 months net profits have gone up 100%, sits right now at PE 6 and it is a very high quality management.

     

    I think they still have plenty of room to grow so they are likely to provide some nice returns for Berkshire in the future.

  3. Will we see a big number of share buybacks in Q2 2021 or a clear slowdown because the share price went up?

     

    Anyone any thoughts?

     

    I personaly think Berkshire Valuation as pretty much fair so I expect a clear slowdown of buybacks by Buffett.

     

    On the other side, I prefer to see them keep doing buybacks even at fair value rather than the cash balance keep going up up and up.

  4. I like to have 10-15%, it gets me still upside from a bull market and if the market goes down I can take some advantage of it.

    Also, I think having cash and not being 100% invested can make you a bit less "emotional" about the daily swings of the market and take better decisions over the long term.

    This is one of those questions where there is so many correct answers...

  5. 7 hours ago, Lollapalooza said:

    I read lots of envy in this thread. I guess success does attract that a lot... 

    if you dont give him credit or you're genuinely not interested in what he says and "his latest gimmicks" why do you waste 1h of your time watching?

    Unlike you and me, he steps out of anonymity and does not shy away from sharing his ideas and latest learnings with others.

    I find it disrespectful specially when you know he used to come to this forum. Personally I appreciate his openness and I feel I've shortened much of my learning curve by listening to him and others that arent afraid to come out in public with some of their 'contrarian' philosophies.

    Completely agree Lollapalooza,

    Everyone is free to like him or not, but we can all admire his intention of trying to be a better investor every day.

    Personally, I am learning so much on his last few talks and I am very "bullish" on his results over the next couple of years... but time will tell!

    Long Shinoken!

  6. I just started reading "Berkshire Beyond Buffett" by Lawrence Cunningham, last night.

     

    Tom Murphy says in the introduction that BRKs' moat is due to culture.

     

    I agree here, I made a big position recently in BRK because of culture. In my opinion BRK culture is: "smart capitall allocation". Buffett has taught us all what is good capital allocation means and I think he has made sure his successors will keep allocating capital intelligently.

     

    The excess capital their businesses produce will be put in places where it makes sense and I am expecting 8-12% long term returns perpetually due to culture.

     

    Another example that comes to mind, is Alibaba. Their first mission of the company is to survive 3 different centuries 1900s, 2000s and 2100s. Well that is a statement of "long term thinking" corporate culture and that is their MOAT in my opinion.

     

  7.  

    Anyone looking at this market?

     

    Does anyone know the name of the warehouse business in Turkey that Pabrai Funds owns?

     

    Ticker Symbol is RYSAS. Down 10% today.

     

    If the situation in Turkey continues and Pabrai doesn´t sell, I will start a position.

     

    My strategy is to clone Pabrai here because there are no annual reports or financial statements in English, is all in Turkish Language

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