In my opinion, expecting post-Covid trending inflation to be 5% is a pipe-dream. Last 10 years Canada could barely crack 2%. Mix that with the demographics bust, debt levels, globalization, and increasing digital transformation, and I find it very hard to believe high inflation is coming back.
This implies (assuming 8.25% nominal CAGR over the next decade again) a 6-7% real return on RE which is pushing it. That being said, one could also argue that low inflation means low rates can be sustained and therefore increased RE prices.
Crazy times.