Novak

That was a very common thing early on. Had a lot of friends get sick around then with classic Covid symptoms and their doctors told them they didn't have Covid without a test. Some ended up going to the hospital later, but even then didn't get tested. Probably for the best, though. Going into the hospital early on during the pandemic didn't produce great outcomes - they kept trying to put everyone on a ventilator.

I don't think you should be very reassured by 538's analysis. Over the years he has become increasingly lazy with his work. Even when he's at his best his statistical methods aren't exactly top-notch. Clinton being replaced ASAP is the best thing that could happen to this country. Almost anybody that would be acceptable to the major factions in the Democratic party should do far better in the election than her. She's the Democrat's Jeb Bush, only the Democrat's actually had the power to push her through to the nomination despite nobody outside of the party's core really wanting her.