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Everything posted by Parsad
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That is net of any debt? Are they burning cash? Usually, the ones I find are quite to totally illiquid. Sometimes I do find high tech or biotech microcaps that are liquid and below net cash, but they are burning it. Net of all debt...and there is very little. Not burning through cash, but running a small profit annually. Dirt cheap! Cheers!
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Well, I do respect Seth Klarman a lot. You too -- I've always enjoyed reading your posts, particularly those on the old board. But we disagree on this one. I'm with WEB that US equities were cheap as whole in 2008/2009. I don't know if US equities are cheap as a whole right now, but I do know that certain sectors are ridiculously cheap, and at least 30 pretty well known individual US stocks I follow are also pretty damn cheap. Not only U.S., but there are discounts in Canada too. We own about 4% of a micro-cap company that is completely liquid, is trading at less than plain cash on hand, and at a 35% discount to plain cash and cash receivables! What am I going to wait for when buying this company...prices like the 1970's! If this thing goes to a 50% discount to cash, does that make me silly for buying now and not waiting for that possibility? It's a pure net-net trading less than cash on hand! Cheers!
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As Buffett put it back in September: “We have a recovery going,” said Buffett, who has led Berkshire for more than four decades. “I don’t think that fiscal stimulus or monetary policy from this point forth will do a lot, to be perfectly honest. I do think that the natural regenerative juices of capitalism will do, and are doing, plenty.” Cheers!
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New York City hired the former chief executive of MF Global to help manage their pension investments. I love this comment: The Comptroller's office said Davis was the best applicant for the job. http://www.cnbc.com/id/45507571 Cheers!
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John Stumpf, CEO of Wells Fargo, had some general comments. Cheers! http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/12/01/us-wellsfargo-stumpf-idUSTRE7B027R20111201
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Hi Mungerville, I didn't say it was the death of equities. It was Businessweek or some other magazine. My point was just that when the media starts touting the death of equities or that we are in the midst of another Great Depression, then that's usually an indication that Mr. Market is feeling a bit too pessimistic. Are things bad...yes, in Europe. Things aren't great in the U.S., but they are coming off of a very severe recession due mostly from speculation in the housing market, and significant deleveraging is continuing as we speak. But things are improving, and from all indications, we are in the midst of a recovery albeit a very slow, precarious one. U.S. corporations are in the best shape they've been in about 50 years. They have tremendous liquidity and debt is at near historic lows. Yes, earnings are historically high, but even if they contracted 25%, you would suddenly have many equities trading at only fair value after that drop. BAC is trading at 2 times pre-tax, pre-provision earnings! I don't buy the market, but I do buy individual securities. I can't control when they will be valued closer to intrinsic value, only that I know they will be over time. The low for equities during the Great Depression occurred in 1932. From there, they never looked back! The low for the Great Recession occurred in early 2009, and equities will not look back either. We are just fortunate that certain financial securities continue to trade at 2008/2009 valuations, even though their businesses, balance sheets, objectives and operating cash flows have become stronger and stronger. Markets may tread sideways or they may go up from here...who knows? But I would bet my last nickel that they won't go down to what we saw in late 2008 and early 2009. And I assure you we won't see such yields on quality corporate debt again in our lifetime. That was an extraordinary period for equities...but even more extraordinary on the debt side...significantly cheaper than debt ever was at any period during the 70's, and probably never seen since the Great Depression. Cheers!
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Interest rates were also significantly higher in the 70's and early 80's. Interest rates are at the lowest levels today since the 1930's. Your alternatives to GIC's, treasuries and corporate debt is equities whose annual dividend yields are twice as high, while actual yield on investment is more than triple what fixed income would get. Very big difference than equities trading at 3-4 times earnings in the 70's, but interest rates were at 6-7% or higher. Cheers!
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I think that is exactly what you should be doing. That's all Buffett cares about as well, and really all we have control over to any degree. Cheers!
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Slow and steady as she goes. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-01/manufacturing-in-u-s-grows-at-faster-pace-as-ism-index-increases-to-52-7.html
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Solid numbers across the board. Cheers! http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-01/north-american-rail-freight-carloads-for-nov-26-table-.html?cmpid=yhoo
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Buffett's Berkshire Purchases a Kiewit Legacy Newspaper
Parsad replied to a topic in Berkshire Hathaway
Since according to this board, Warren doesn't do anything for charity, nor will he 'bail out' anyone unless there are unadulterated, upscene PROFITS to be gleaned, why would he be buying a newspaper from the old world, or non digital one where the internet is displacing the old guards by his and Charlie's own admissions? So what is the upside for him to donate nearly his entire fortune to the Gates Foundation? What profits are to be garnered by that? I think Buffett bought the Omaha World-Herald so as to preserve his hometown paper, a source of knowledge and joy when he began delivering it 70 years ago. At the same time, it is a business that is somewhat of a monopoly in Omaha, and while it won't garner him huge returns, it should be able to deliver reasonable cash flows as long as it is in existence. Other than that, I don't try to, nor require the need to wonder why Buffett is buying something. I only wonder about why I'm buying something! ;D Cheers! -
I am probably asking too much to see a return to 2008 when investors were puking their guts up and we saw real capitulation. A disorderly Euro exit, or something that would spook the markets is just what I would like to see. It's very unlikely you will see that. There is just too much activity by federal governments and treasuries to allow such a collapse again. Any significant hint of something happening, and you will see intervention. It is far more likely that markets will tread sideways within a range for a period of time, and then slowly move up as deleveraging continues and valuations drop over time. I stated a while ago that it is unlikely you will see the S&P500 at 1000 again. Not that it can't happen, but because as we get anywhere near that, governments step in. It would take some completely unknown shock to the system to cause a collapse like 2008...Chinese banks going under, nuclear attack, massive earthquake in Los Angeles, etc. You've got a very slow recovery occurring in the U.S., some attempts at stabilization in Europe and China easing monetary policy. It's unlikely that you will see S&P500 670 again in the next six to twelve months or perhaps even in the next couple of years. If it is/was going to happen, now would be the time. If you see any progress with Europe increasing financial ties across the Union, then it is unlikely we will see a significant drop in markets. But hey, stranger things have happened! ;D Cheers!
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5 year BB user just switched to iPhone 4S and very happy. I had to use my brothers Blackberry for Google Maps yesterday. I almost threw the BB out the window. Welcome to 2011 FFHWatcher! ;D It's nice when an electronic appliance actually works exactly the way the user would like it to. Cheers!
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Leverage in U.S. banks remain near an all-time low, while bankers are itching to start lending again. Cheers! http://www.cnbc.com/id/45466176
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Me too! Maybe that's why I posted it. ;D Cheers!
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Should read death of equities and housing, as no one will ever want to own either again...correct?! ;D Cheers!
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True, very true. But it takes some skill in finding good managers. His father did the same when he hired Richard Currie back in the day. Cheers!
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Not too many times you see the children of entrepreneurs take over the family business and continue to improve and compete. Galen G. Weston took over at the helm of Canada's largest grocery chain, Loblaws, and has done a terrific job of trying to compete with big-box U.S. chains that have invaded and continue to invade Canada. He took over from his father, who took over from his father, and each generation has done a good job of remaining competitive and reinventing the brand. The present Weston in charge, has also made himself into a very affable commercial figure who represents his brand exceedingly well...maybe something Sardar could learn from! Anyway, they just opened their new flagship store in Toronto in the old Maple Leaf Gardens. Cheers! http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/the-puck-drops-on-the-new-loblaws-store/article2255148/
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As discussed yesterday, while not enough to offset unemployment numbers, private sector job hiring is increasing. Cheers! http://money.msn.com/business-news/article.aspx?feed=OBR&data-ipsquote-timestamp=20111130&id=14573424
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Always interesting to see what brands or businesses have become extinguished, while some remain within cult-like status among small groups. Cheers! http://money.msn.com/investment-advice/10-brand-names-gone-but-not-forgotten-thestreet.aspx?cp-documentid=6846398
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Buffett's Berkshire Purchases a Kiewit Legacy Newspaper
Parsad replied to a topic in Berkshire Hathaway
How fitting that Buffett acquires the Omaha World-Herald. After years of reading it, watching copies of it distributed to his shareholders on AGM day, and numerous articles of his successes documented in it, who else would make sense to buy and preserve the paper than the greatest investor of all time...a hometown boy who built his fortune delivering it! Buffett's life comes full circle. Extraordinary...simply extraordinary. Cheers! -
Fairfax to lead group investing in Bank of Ireland
Parsad replied to Grenville's topic in Fairfax Financial
Just so there is no misunderstanding, I was being sarcastic. Oh! ;D Cheers! -
I was wondering why BAC and GS were acting so weak...
Parsad replied to moore_capital54's topic in General Discussion
The article is here: http://tinyurl.com/8y9we5b They all pretty much got taken down a notch. I suspect BAC knew they were possibly going to be downgraded with everyone else, thus the sale of almost all of their stake in China Construction Bank. Cheers! -
Mr. Parsad, if you turn this thread into a debate about LVLT, who is going to ban you to The Island of Misfit Toys? By the way, that's on television tonight. My favorite line is "Bumbles bounce!" Cheers!
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Fairfax to lead group investing in Bank of Ireland
Parsad replied to Grenville's topic in Fairfax Financial
I don't know about Boucher, but all I can say is that Prem and Wilbur Ross won't sit idly by if the bank is put in any sort of jeopardy by mismanagement. Who knows, they may already be working on replacing Boucher or adding directors to the board. We don't know, so these are probably questions people can ask at the AGM or dinner. Cheers!