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bargainman

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Everything posted by bargainman

  1. What do you mean by mark to air? Are you talking about the same strategy Singleton of Teledyne used.. issue high priced stock to get cheaper assets?
  2. You'll want to pick up Tim Ferris's book "4 hour work week" or check out his website. He's a piece of work in some ways, but leads a very interesting life and advocates for mini retirements, which is what it sounds like you're doing. http://www.fourhourworkweek.com/
  3. I'm surprised that all the directors didn't leave.. maybe he needed some to stay for continuity...
  4. Thanks for giving me this very nice piece of advice. My wife and I actually have been thinking about this for sometime and there are several aspects of it make me undecided. One aspect is, of course, will we have enough assets? We live in Taiwan, where the living cost is somewhat lower than the States, so this part is much easier. However, what makes her uneasy is to have me being a fulltime "home maker." Here the society values "corporate titles" very much. When I told my wife I think I should eventually quit my job and manage our investment full time, my wife actually wanted me to form a small company, a small investment partnership, so that I can: 1) keep the "going-to-work everyday" routine and have a job title and 2) keep relatives from thinking I am lazy to retire when I am 45. I wonder whether other members who work for oneself full time have to fight this stereotype or not. What will you suggest me do? Quit worrying what everyone else thinks and do what makes you happy. I was laid off at the end of last year from a good job and used my extra free time to travel all of SE Asia, Japan, HK, and Bali for several months. Friends thought i was nuts. "Who does that?"But it was probably the best time i have ever had and I made great lifelong friends! Glad i didn't listen to them or worry about what they thought. Zippy It's clear that you care about what your wife thinks, and thank goodness for that! So i don't really subscribe to the comment about "quit worrying what everyone else thinks" since clearly her opinion is important to you. The idea of doing what makes *you* happy is a good one, but also seems to me to be more of a north american western individualistic concept that doesn't pervade all societies, and certainly not a lot of Asian societies. So ultimately there are actions and consequences and the most important thing is for you to be happy with the consequences ( and perceived ones, since maybe they wouldn't be what you think they would be. Often times we fear doing something, then after we do it we realize our fear was just in our heads, or our spouse's heads). You already have spelled out what you think the consequences will be, the question is whether you can live with them? that's only a decision you can make. In other words if you take advice from a board member that says "do what makes you happy", and the thought of other people close to you thinking bad of you doesn't make you happy, well then you should ignore the part about "quit worrying what others think" :-)
  5. That is funny! I was also quite amused at the talk of Whole Foods in a Sears store! I mean Whole Foods? really? I guess it makes sense in that it's SHLD's answer to Target and Walmart's "supermarket in a store"? Kind of reminds me of was it la Quinta hotels? The famous Peter Lynch investment that decided to drop their hotel restaurant (hotel restaurants are almost always money losing parts of the business) in favor of providing space for a Dennys (I think it was Dennys). Definitely an interesting move. Lampert rarely talks about focus on giving customers the cheapest goods, always about delivering customer service, which makes me think Whole foods kind of fits into that strategy? Will be interesting to see how it plays out...
  6. I was just thinking about that today! Basically sounds like someone throwing popcorn from the bleachers if you will. If he has an issue with these things he should become more involved politically. Maybe he is, who knows? The 'opinion' about Amazon not collecting taxes vs SHLD and others having to also sounded like an opinion piece. I mean if it's important to the business and I believe it is, there should be a call to action or a description of the actions that SHLD is or has taken no? But I do agree that his political opinions are kind of weak and out of place in an annual letter.
  7. Here's another more recent one from Schwab's site: http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/research_strategies/market_insight/investing_strategies/portfolio_planning/hedging_tax_traps_for_the_unwary.html Constructive sale rules The constructive sale rules arrived as part of the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997. In a nutshell, certain offsetting transactions can require you to recognize the capital gain on your original position even though you haven't actually sold it. These rules severely limit the usefulness of an old standby, the "short-against-the-box" strategy. Importantly, a put option used by itself to hedge the risk on an existing position should not trigger a constructive sale as long as the exercise price is at or below the price of the existing position. And there are a number of other viable hedging and diversification strategies which, when properly structured, can help avoid constructive sale treatment.
  8. It depends -- the rules of whether or not it is treated as a sale depend on a few factors, such as when the put is closed out, when you purchase additional puts or hedges on that stock after closing out the prior hedges, the strike price of the put (whether it protects any gain), etc... For individuals the date at which you close out your puts will at the very least become your new date of acquisition for long/short term capital gains considerations. For example, if you hold the stock for 20 years and then buy puts on it today, but close the puts out next week and then sell the stock the next day -- that makes the holding period short-term and you owe tax as a short-term capital gain. The tax people aren't stupid -- they understand that by purchasing a KO put to protect your KO gains you are avoiding just selling the stock. So they treat you as if you are doing just that. Indirect hedging will avoid the constructive sale rules. Prior to 1997 (when these rules went into place) you could just short the stock in perpetuity to lock in the gain on the offsetting long position without EVER paying tax! Combine that with naked short selling (no borrowing costs) and you are in tax nirvana. Hmmm.. are you sure about that? The rules I read on constructive sales have to do with a real 1 to 1 offsetting position.. see: http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-pdf/p550.pdf On page 39 titled "Constructive Sales of Appreciated Financial Positions". It sounds like you have to do a short position or futures contract where both the loss potential *and* the gain potential is eliminated.. See here also: http://www.fool.com/school/taxes/1999/taxes990730.htm it's a bit old so not sure if it's out of date, but here is what they say: "Remember that the constructive sale rules were implemented to impact transactions that had the effect of eliminating substantially all of your risk of loss and opportunity for income and gain with respect to the appreciated financial position. That's the standard and it's very clear. Applying this reasoning, Congress intended that transactions only reducing risk of loss or only reducing opportunity for gain would not be covered under the constructive sale rules. Example: You hold an appreciated financial position in a stock. You then enter into a "put" with an exercise price equal to the current market price (an "at-the-money" option). Because such an option reduces only your risk of loss, and not your opportunity for gain, the above standard would not be met, and this would not be considered a constructive sale. Again, remember that the transactions the constructive sale rules affect are those that reduce both risk of loss and opportunity for gain. So, if you hedge only one end of the transaction, the constructive sale rules wouldn't apply."
  9. A few questions: "Sears closed a combined 34 Kmart and Sears stores in 2010 and added 122 specialty stores." what specialty stores, does anyone know? With regards to buybacks and the new CEO: "D'Ambrosio's resume includes serving most recently as CEO at Avaya Inc., a telephone and software technology company, where he was instrumental in taking the company private in a $8.2 billion deal with two private equity firms in 2007." "He noted D'Ambrosio's technology background would be a strength as Sears builds a business that's more focused online. He also highlighted that Avaya's going private helped deliver "attractive returns to its shareholders," raising speculation that Lampert may be thinking about such a move for Sears." buying back to take it private?
  10. It's funny how boiler plate all of this is.. special committee, strategic alternatives, careful examination.. It's all vague and lawyerspeak.
  11. Here's an interesting article on the middle class vs the upper class. Guess which one has done better in the last umpteen years.. http://money.cnn.com/2011/02/16/news/economy/middle_class/index.htm The article talks a bit about unions too: But union membership has declined rapidly over the past 30 years. In 1983, union workers made up about 20% of the workforce. In 2010, they represented less than 12%. "The erosion of collective bargaining is a key factor to explain why low-wage workers and middle income workers have seen their wages not stay up with inflation," Rodgers said. Without collective bargaining pushing up wages, especially for blue-collar work -- average incomes have stagnated.
  12. Here's the transcript in case you don't have an hour+ to listen to it: http://cooper.house.gov/images/stories/here.pdf
  13. While the rolling stone is not my first source of news this article is pretty brutal. Sounds like the sec is basically powerless... by choice... http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/why-isnt-wall-street-in-jail-20110216
  14. Well with equity fund flows taking the cake of course the stock market is going up: http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=370495 Does anyone know where to get this source data? I would love to be able to see where the money is moving, although it's probably a lagging indicator since by the time you see the money move it's already moved the market... Or maybe not...
  15. I'm surprised there isn't more commentary about this on this board. Yeah I think Joe's board response is amusing, ie ridiculous. It's amazing how boards under pressure by an activist always sound so shocked and incensed (Bruce isn't really an activist either!). The amazing thing is that they are pretending to be on the side of the shareholders which is hilarious because.. Bruce *is* the shareholder!! I mean he owns 30% of the company! The comment about 'controlling' the company is just ludicrous. He owns 30% of the shares, he should have a major say as it is. Also their poison pill doesn't make sense in that it doesn't protect them at all. I'm pretty sure that Bruce wouldn't buy more shares, he doesn't have to! He just needs to call up TRowe and the other couple mutual funds and he'll win. Amazing.. when push comes to shove what management will do and say. I'm not sure what Bruce has wrt operational changes, but my first bet is 'stop the bleeding'.. I mean they lost almost 100 million last year and their CEO makes 1.5 million? I would guess he asked everyone there to take a salary cut and they didn't want to.
  16. Um.. "The supermarket tabloid National Enquirer claims to be publishing photos of Jobs taken Feb. 8 that show the Apple founder looking incredibly thin and frail." I'm not sure I'd be listening to the enquirer..
  17. This is mildly amusing.. http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/110216/20110216006657.html?.v=1 “St. Joe adamantly opposes Fairholme’s efforts to obtain control of the Company without paying a control premium to all other shareholders. If Fairholme and its President, Bruce Berkowitz, want to take control of St. Joe, they should make an offer to all shareholders to buy it. Since the Fairholme representatives on the St. Joe Board voted to approve the decision to explore financial and strategic alternatives, we believe that Fairholme should support that process by participating in it, rather than seeking to obtain control of the Company through a costly and disruptive proxy contest. To date, Fairholme has not submitted for consideration any alternative business plan to enhance value for all St. Joe shareholders. If Fairholme and Mr. Berkowitz have an alternative business plan or strategic initiative that they believe to be in the best interests of all of St. Joe shareholders, they should propose it for consideration as part of the Company’s process for reviewing all strategic alternatives.”
  18. http://tech.slashdot.org/story/11/01/19/1814237/Mail-Service-Costs-Netflix-20x-More-Than-Streaming?from=rss I always hear about the argument that content is going to cost more, but rarely do people bring up the fact that their postage costs are going down.
  19. I agree that he seemed a bit evasive, but IMO part of it is that he's a director of the company now so I'm pretty sure he has to watch what he says legally speaking. I doubt he's going to do a tit for tat in pubic. If he wanted to do that he would have done it at the value investor's conference.
  20. In a related topic, Jack Lalanne passed away just a few days ago at the age of 96!. The guy was the godfather of fitness. He had pretty simple advice for eating: If a man made it, don't eat it! if it tastes good spit out out! He worked out 2 hours every day at the age of 96! Invented a number of the machines in gyms, and did crazy stunts like: "To mark his 70th birthday, LaLanne towed a flotilla of 70 rowboats during a mile-long swim from Long Beach Harbor to the Queensway Bridge, both in Long Beach, Calif. The swim took around 2-1/2 hours, and several of the boats held passengers." Here are some videos http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9EdRdoEsBPo RIP Jack!
  21. Eric50 is another distinguished prophet, Junto. Normative reasoning or prophecy is not enough. You need to have a plan if you're wrong. Otherwise, you get stuck in the T-bone / Stove watsa_is_a_randian_hero confirmation bias whirlpool where no one can reach you, even if they read you aloud quarterly reports in an effort to bring you back to reality ;D Harry, I really don't know why you keep pounding on this, or at least on watsa. He clearly delineated earlier in the thread what his risk control mechanism was. Very small short position vs portfolio size, followed by a closing of the short and conversion into a bearish vertical put spread when it moved against him. (ie *closed out his unlimited risk*). That hardly seems out of whack or 'refusing to adopt risk control'. I really like the ideas you bring to the board but I think you overdo these kinds of posts sometimes. Plus the fact that you aren't willing to share your proprietary risk control methods, while you pound on others' who have shared what they do for risk control seems asymmetric.
  22. Speaking of hard drive companies, here's an interesting article on innovation and what ends up driving companies out of business by missing the next wave of innovation... http://www.businessweek.com/chapter/christensen.htm
  23. Where do you see this information? I don't see Tisch's name under yahoo, is it held under another name? On the other hand I don't see Eddie Lampert's name under yahoo either.. weird... http://finance.yahoo.com/q/mh?s=SHLD+Major+Holders
  24. The Fairholme Allocation Fund (NASDAQ: FAAFX) started on January 3, 2011. Interesting.. expense ratio is lower than fairx! The annual fund operating expense is 0.75%
  25. plus with the extension of lower income tax into the next 2 years it'll be a no brainer to pay the taxes in 2011/12 instead of in 2010.
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