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Everything posted by LC
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How deep do you read into your annual/quarterly reports?
LC replied to InspireByReason's topic in General Discussion
I agree with cheetah but it's one of those things where you need to know what the rules are before u start bending them. Read a bunch of 10ks from a variety of companies, and sooner or later you'll realize how useful or useless they are to you. -
If American - which presidential candidate will you vote for?
LC replied to LongHaul's topic in General Discussion
Nice insult, ccplz. You just won the argument and clinched my vote against Trump. What a master stroke! -
If American - which presidential candidate will you vote for?
LC replied to LongHaul's topic in General Discussion
But how about Angela Merkel's disastrous refugee policies that changed the lives of so many German people? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Year%27s_Eve_sexual_assaults_in_Germany 1200 women were raped publicly on the street. Their lives were forever changed. And this is just one incident. Smaller crimes happen almost everyday in Germany now. 1200 sexual assaults** and at least 5 rapes. -
This is a good point and I've thought about it a lot. I think there are a handful of factors at play, including: -ambiguous qualifications of what makes a "good CEO" -the switching cost point you mention -fear of being the odd-man-out (i.e. the owner to take the first step in reducing ceo pay) -an 'old boys club' at the top, where many of these ppl look out for each other vs. meritocracy -the faulty assumption that CEO pay must be in line with company scale (but not other positions) -lack of true attribution - i.e. faulty measurement of what a CEO actually contributes towards company success
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http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014 But the problem isn’t that we have inequality. Some inequality is intrinsic to any high-functioning capitalist economy. The problem is that inequality is at historically high levels and getting worse every day. Our country is rapidly becoming less a capitalist society and more a feudal society. Unless our policies change dramatically, the middle class will disappear, and we will be back to late 18th-century France. Before the revolution. No society can sustain this kind of rising inequality. In fact, there is no example in human history where wealth accumulated like this and the pitchforks didn’t eventually come out. You show me a highly unequal society, and I will show you a police state. Or an uprising. There are no counterexamples. None. It’s not if, it’s when.
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Seriously, why does the market as a whole go up?
LC replied to whiterose's topic in General Discussion
While population growth and access to a higher quality of life will slow, technology will continue to improve and create economic growth (in my view, of course) -
Seriously, why does the market as a whole go up?
LC replied to whiterose's topic in General Discussion
Mostly due to technology creating effeciencies and inflation -
If the government (which is owner of the majority of the tangible/intangible capital in this country) charged market rate for this capital, the cost structure of our entire economy would be different. But they don't, as such we have massive inefficiencies. For example, Walmart employees reduced to food stamps. The government is essentially subsidizing Walmart. Nobody would work these jobs if they all died of starvation in 30 days or so. As a result, Walmart increases their EV by a few % as Don alludes to, and senior management disproportionately benefits.
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This is essentially where government needs to step in and tax.
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A man is drunk in a bar. Across the bar he sees three heavy set women, speaking with Scottish sounding accents. He makes his way to the women and asks; "Excuse me, are you ladies from Scotland?" The first women gets mad and yells "It's Wales, you ass! Wales!" The man the replies. "I'm sorry, are you three whales from Scotland?"
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Do you know why the Amish girl was excommunicated? 2 mennanite
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What is the connection between IRR and growth rate?
LC replied to scorpioncapital's topic in General Discussion
Both companies can grow at 10% if you assume the company with higher IRR (20%) has less investment opportunity than the company with lower IRR. I.e. the lower IRR company can put 2x the money to work. LuxCo - High margin goods (high IRR) - lower volume, higher IRR MassCo - Low margin goods (low IRR) - higher volume, lower IRR Both can grow profits by the same amount per year. LuxCo can only invest 1K. MassCo can invest 2K. -
Warren Buffett buys no brainer companies. What is the probability that Warren Buffett's $30B investment in BNSF will go to 0? If something bad happens to rail he'll get a ton of dividends and then probably sell it such that he can break even with dividends. Downside and upside are limited. Anyone can see that at the time of acquisition. What is the probably the Nokia will go to 0 at time of acquisition? I'd say honestly at the time 25%? Someone has tons of cold hard cash and decides to plow it into something like Nokia better know what the hell he is doing. And Ballmer I can argue in hindsight did not. I can argue only a few living gods among us do. Buffett is just one example that the person making a decision is not necessarily responsible for the successful/unsuccessful outcome from that decision. If the gov't decided to nationalize the rail system and break up the oligopoly, is Buffett responsible the same way Ballmer was "responsible"?
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I am sorry to say this but this is got to be the worst joke here :) :) :) :) :) Did you hear about the kidnapping in Virginia? Don't worry, he woke up.
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The MSFT CEO was 100% responsible for making the decision to buy Nokia which turned out to be a $10B writeoff. Here the CEO's decision cost the company $10B Warren Buffett is 100% responsible for the decision to buy companies. Is the future success (or failure) of those companies 100% attributable to Warren Buffett?
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I think the people over-value the contribution of CEOs. If you hire a new CEO and pay him $30mm more than the last CEO, and the new CEO implements a strategy at the $45B EV company that expands the EV by 1%, then the CEO AND the company have made more money. It's not zero sum. Right, because the success of this strategy is 100% dependent on the CEO. Dude probably just outsourced some labor.
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Otherwise, use this as a sounding board. Do some research, post the results, see what the responses are. Also re-read the BAC warrants thread and Eric's thread in the "ask a member" forum. Great way to think about options.
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I can't get over the privatized water thing with nestle, but otherwise yea I agree
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Everyone says starbucks coffee sucks but they still go there. It reminds me of microsoft: such a good business that even though every single person alive has complained about their operating system at some point, they still buy windows. That's a good business.
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If American - which presidential candidate will you vote for?
LC replied to LongHaul's topic in General Discussion
Is it weird that Hillary has been very quiet on the media front? Trump has interviews, active on social media, etc. I haven't heard much out of Hillary's camp. Is this normal or am I just looking in the wrong places? -
kind of hilarious that it's been 6 months now. does it usually take this long for investment managers to respond to interview questions?
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Yea I pretty much despise her. Just a really dirty politician. I'm close to going full anarchist and voting Trump just to watch it all burn (something something forest fire, regrowth, something something)