Liberty

Do these countries have an out-of-control outbreak with almost 80k new positive tests a day (at very high positive percentage of tests, meaning there's a lot that are going untested)? You don't get to have other countries' outcomes without doing what they did to get these outcomes. Lots of adults work in schools, and even for kids, "low risk" doesn't mean "no risk" for them, or "no risk" to pass it on to their families... The preliminary data seen in some places could still be reversed as more time passes and more evidence is gathered, and just yesterday Fauci was warning young people that they're spreading the virus. Not only that, but the goal here is to get kids in schools to get more parents out in the world, and I'm not sure that's the best thing to do when you're breaking infection records daily and there's no plan to deal with the crisis and the feds are MIA. What's a risk worth taking when the virus is very rare in a population, such as in Germany with 300-500 cases/day and a fairly stable curve and measures in place to contain it, isn't worth taking in a country with 70,000-80,000 cases/day and a fast-growing curve, with governors suing cities to keep them from using masks and such. If Trump cared about kids and their educations, he'd have done a good job controlling the virus like everybody else. Now what happened is they told him that the only thing he polled remotely ok on is the economy, and that the economy can't reopen if kids aren't in school. He's not doing it because it's better for kids or the pandemic. And he certainly didn't help the economy by bungling the pandemic response... Seems super-duper-obvious, but I guess it needs to be said..

Meanwhile, the guy the should actually have had running things without constant second guessing and contradicting from the beginning seems like a really good guy:

I'm sure it's more than one thing, and just reflexively taking the contrary position that your opponent is taking is also very common. But usually when it comes to being this wrong and killing your citizens and destroying your economy this many months into a crisis, you need to be seriously dumb and mentally inflexible, IMO. Politics is the mind-killer: All this epidemic stuff should be such a non-partisan issue. I'd be fine if Romney was in charge or if Obama was in charge, they'd do such a better job, and would save the US tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of lives by the time this is over, and how many millions of jobs and trillions of dollars (both of lost productivity and of government debt)... This is such a big hole that is being dug, it's going to take years to dig out of it and get back to the spot on the trendline that the US would be if they had just copied everything almost every other country did that has a curve that is almost back to baseline...

WOW! They're really going all in on this. Weird! It's a weird mentality that changing your mind is a sign of weakness, rather than a sign of learning. The question should always be, are you changing your mind for good reasons (learned new facts, had new insight) or for bad reasons (polls are changing, following someone else, there's a new fashionable position, it's more convenient for you to think X, etc.)

The IQ-challenged virus-collaborators strike again: https://apnews.com/3db1db2c24ad60d215733cb7820892d5

Just the fact that it's illegal for government officials to endorse products is enough... 5 CFR § 2635.702 - Use of public office for private gain ("An employee shall not use his public office for...for the endorsement of any product..")

They're busy: https://www.instagram.com/p/CCrAzKiBFUQ/ (when I saw this photo, I was sure it was a photoshop job after Ivanka's illegal product ad on her twitter... but this is from his official Instagram account)

Maryland governor on his COVID experience: https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/07/16/larry-hogan-trump-coronavirus/

They didn't waste any time:

Also:

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.15.20151852v1 The mortality rate is high of about 25%. The number of days since symptom onset 9 days before medicine administration On oxygen or ventilation at baseline: 67% Many doctors who use Hydroxychloroquine say 1) It works better with Zinc, and optionally Azithromycin. 2) Works when given early but not when given later when symptoms of pneumonia have started. For example Dr. Harvey Risch from Yale says: I think that there has been confusion about treating the cold versus treating the pneumonia. These medications don’t seem to work so well for treating the pneumonia. As early as possible is crucial, within the first five to six days of symptoms. https://medicine.yale.edu/news-article/25085/ While I've got you here, what's your take on nuclear fusion? You a fan of tokamak reactors?

Speculation isn't investing, comparing the two generates more heat than light, IMO. Some people *do* win the lotto. Playing the lotto was smart *for them*, ex post facto. Doesn't mean you can know beforehand if you'll be "them".

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.15.20151852v1

Management teams are going to present Q2 like this:

Excess death data for Spain, Italy, UK, Belgium: Also, how crazy is this: https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/14/politics/trump-administration-coronavirus-hospital-data-cdc/index.html What if this administration worked as hard at trying to contain the virus (like how almost every other country has done) instead of trying to contain information and science and play propaganda games?

I'm really happy to see this: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/quebec-mandatory-masks-indoor-public-spaces-1.5647203

Thread on US numbers: Also:

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-japan-has-long-accepted-covids-airborne-spread-and-scientists-say-ventilation-is-key/

:-X What do you think would've happened without pardon power/AG saying can't be indicted by Mueller/not testifying/not allowing most witnesses/not providing financial information/not following subpoenas/no senate that doesn't do its job in trial/clearly telling his cronies they'll get pardoned if they don't cooperate with law enforcement?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-07-03/canberra-free-from-known-coronavirus-cases-sewage-confirms/12418272

Fauci piece in the FT: https://www.ft.com/content/57834c2c-a078-4736-9173-8fb32cfbbf4e

Bill Miller podcast interview: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2020-07-10/bill-miller-on-the-classical-value-portfolio-podcast

https://apnews.com/a319d390255fbe1836228e8c9a07ea64

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/10/wearing-masks-is-now-the-most-important-thing-for-the-economy-feds-kaplan-says.html "Wearing masks is now the most important thing for the economy, Fed’s Kaplan says" Took them long enough.. Also: site I hadn't zeen before that tries to estimate the R0 in each state of the US: https://rt.live/

A way to scale images would be useful. I always end up with huge images hosted somewhere else that I wish I could resize quickly, and I don't always have the time to resize locally and re-upload somewhere else. You can do it manually per below: {img}url{/img} {img width=XXX}url{/img} I'll give it a try. I tried at some point, but I probably didn't do it right because it didn't work. I use the above all the time. Of course the curly brackets have to be replaced with square brackets. img width=800 img width=400 img width=200 I think I may have used width="X" and it doesn't work with the quotemarks..? Maybe something else. Either way, thanks ¯\_(ツ)_/¯