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Liberty

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Everything posted by Liberty

  1. https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/07/frequent-fast-and-cheap-is-better-than-sensitive.html
  2. NZ did very well. One overarching theme is that islands ( NZ, Australia ( technically a continent but still surrounded by water), Iceland, Japan , South Korea ( norther border is impenetrable) can do better because they have easier ways to control access. The exception are the turds from the UK of course. I don't think most of the countries that are having trouble are having trouble because infected people are coming over the borders...
  3. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jul/24/new-zealand-beat-covid-19-by-trusting-leaders-and-following-advice-study
  4. https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-07-21/masks-help-avoid-major-illness-coronavirus
  5. Well, this inspires confidence in federal leadership during this historical crisis...
  6. https://www.aihw.gov.au/reports/australias-health/australias-health-2020-data-insights/contents/summary
  7. https://twitter.com/someknew/status/1286016389879218176?s=20 (warning, NSFW language)
  8. https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/934289 “ HCQ Study Has 'Major Shortcomings' and Is 'Fully Irresponsible'”
  9. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.13.20041632v1.full.pdf
  10. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/14/cdc-says-us-could-get-coronavirus-under-control-in-one-to-two-months-if-everyone-wears-a-mask.html
  11. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.06.20147702v1 “ COVID-19 screening strategies that permit the safe re-opening of college campuses”
  12. I think Europe has low single digit positive rates... what a tragedy, how many unnecessary deaths and how much unnecessary economic damage...
  13. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/18/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-response-failure-leadership.html
  14. https://academic.oup.com/cid/article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa923/5868545
  15. “Trump says 'I don't agree' with CDC director's mask message“ https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/17/trump-says-i-dont-agree-with-cdc-directors-mask-message.html
  16. https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/17/politics/white-house-cdc-house-testimony-schools/index.html “ White House blocks CDC from testifying on reopening schools next week” I’m sure they only had good things to say, but the public doesn’t need to know what the CDC thinks about this... Jared has got it under control.
  17. I think you're misreading the situation. I think Trump's problems are self-inflicted. If he was a little smart and a little competent and had a little empathy, and was surrounded by people like that too, he'd have done what almost every single country has done and this crisis would've boosted his popularity and been a clear re-election calling card, as most successfully met challenges are for presidents (9/11 for Bush, for example). I protected you, this really bad thing happened and I dealt with it well, you can trust me to have your back for 4 more years, etc. Instead, it revealed him without a shadow of a doubt to be an incompetent bullshit artist who has no idea how to do the actual job, and polls reflect that. As for the market, it's always going to do what it's going to do. People think it should work in lockstep with the underlying economy, but if you look at the facts, it rarely does, too many factors and reflexive feedback mechanisms. If it did, it would be a lot easier to predict, because the economy moves a lot slower than the market.. While this is true, contrary to the beloved narrative some here like to peddle, I really could care less about whether Trump handled things in a way that best suited his political ambitions. In fact, theres probably a greater source of truth to the argument that without some degree of mismanagement, we wouldn't have the stimulus and rate policies that are making certain long and short term investments available and extremely compelling, not to mention predictable, right now. Short term, you have capital markets completely open at outrageous rates to companies just recently believed to be on the brink of "extinction"...longer term, you have guaranteed low rates and a put option of a party change which has already committed to an outrageous level of money printing, and yet inflation protected assets in irreplaceable locations trading at historic spreads against treasuries.... Yeah, I was more worried about the unnecessary human suffering and deaths and out-of-control epidemic than the market here...
  18. I think you're misreading the situation. I think Trump's problems are self-inflicted. If he was a little smart and a little competent and had a little empathy, and was surrounded by people like that too, he'd have done what almost every single country has done and this crisis would've boosted his popularity and been a clear re-election calling card, as most successfully met challenges are for presidents (9/11 for Bush, for example). I protected you, this really bad thing happened and I dealt with it well, you can trust me to have your back for 4 more years, etc. Instead, it revealed him without a shadow of a doubt to be an incompetent bullshit artist who has no idea how to do the actual job, and polls reflect that. As for the market, it's always going to do what it's going to do. People think it should work in lockstep with the underlying economy, but if you look at the facts, it rarely does, too many factors and reflexive feedback mechanisms. If it did, it would be a lot easier to predict, because the economy moves a lot slower than the market..
  19. What's the difference between an introverted and an extroverted engineer? An introverted engineer looks at his shoes when he's talking to you, an extroverted engineer looks at your shoes when he's talking to you.
  20. https://english.elpais.com/science_tech/2020-07-17/over-half-of-coronavirus-hospital-patients-in-spain-have-developed-neurological-problems-studies-show.html
  21. New documentary on Claude Shannon just came out on Prime Video: Looking forward to this!
  22. New documentary on Claude Shannon just came out on Prime Video: Looking forward to this!
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