We're now in the period of separating the true value investors from the speculators. It has nothing to do with returns and everything to do with psychology. Can you keep a cool head while everyone around you is supposedly getting rich fast?
I'm getting a few texts from friends telling me bragging about their returns over the last ~12 months. One friend thinks he has special skill because he invested in the FANGs ex-Apple and should thus start a hedge fund. Another routinely sends me texts telling me about successes in short term gains by buying Hertz stock or trading various options. These aren't dumb people: we're talking about JD-MBAs, engineers, and degrees from Yale, Harvard, and MIT. I'm happy that my friends made money and I'm not inclined to follow their lead in "investing" strategy. But I see how they might influence their social circle to engage in short-term trading, greater-fool "investing," and other speculation. I try to warn them that their short-term success is hazardous to their wealth because they'll start believing that they have special skills or that they can't lose.