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ratiman

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Posts posted by ratiman

  1. 4 hours ago, Parsad said:

    indow of making chocolate to delivery at locations is 3 days maximum.  Huggins didn't want the distribution taking any longer than that.  Also said that competition was quite tough in Canada with some very well known local brands...Purdy's, Laura Secord, Roger's Chocolates, etc.

     

    That's also the reason why they've grown organically for the most part out of regions where they were already known...other than a handful of licensed stores and kiosks outside of their core region.  The manufacturing sites are within three days

    Thanks, that's very helpful. But i'm not sure it totally answers the question. The same concerns about freshness would apply to Lindt or Godiva. I had no idea that chocolate could be fresh or not fresh.

  2. Buffett has said that it's hard to grow Sees sales but chocolatiers like Godiva and Lindt sell in supermarkets and also maintain independent shops. I've heard that Buffett wanted to maintain the Sees brand and didn't want Sees sold next to Hershey's or something but it works for Godiva and Lindt, it should work for Sees too.

  3.  The first words of the first chapter are "A school in Connecticut once held a "Day devoted to the arts" . . . "  WHO CARES? I can't imagine an introduction less likely to get the reader hooked.

  4. I want sites like Koyfin to succeed but my bookmarks are filled with dead links to sites that have tried to replace Yahoo finance (remember Zignals?) It's amazing how many things YF got right and how difficult it is to replace even for billionaires. I think the basic problem is that everybody has very unique preferences and ultimately most people default to a mix and match of different sites. I also wonder how large the audience is. We've all heard the anecdotes that like 57 people actually click on the link to the SBUX 10-K.

     

     

  5. GE under Immelt sounds a lot like IBM. Predix is basically Watson, a vaporware AI layer on top of all its industrial machinery. The fact that it took years for GE & IBM to admit that it was all nonsense, after spending hundreds of millions on advertizing, is kind of amazing. Immelt was a P&G product manager in his first job, and that's the mentality he brought to running GE, with lots of consumer advertizing and rapid buying & selling of brands. Unfortunately industrial machinery is nothing like soup or detergent and GE spent billions chasing after fads. It's amazing that Immelt lasted 16 years when he clearly wasn't suited to the job. The biggest difference between Immelt and Welch appears to be be that Welch was willing to hear bad news.

  6. 2020 defense budget was $738 billion, according to my Binging. 2023 defense budget will be less than $800 billion. That's a cut in inflation adjusted terms. I don't know how much but it's not a small cut. With Republicans turning against the military, and Democrats never that big on defense spending, I don't see how the defense budget keeps pace with inflation. Even if Russia were to invade Ukraine, I'm not sure it would affect the budget. These things go in cycles.

  7. 48 minutes ago, thepupil said:

     

    someone was arguing with him about a stock's fundamentals and Adam decided that the proper response was to doxx that person (via a link to the person's LinkedIn) and make fun of the college that person attended. 

    #nofilter 😛 I hope he doesn't shut up because the entertainment potential here is spectacular

  8. Yeah I saw that. It's pretty nuts if he can't get funded, or maybe the problem is with institutions? None of my business but he should be a source of entertaining COBF content for years to come. Some of his conference call rants are  🤣🤣🤣🤣

  9.  

    I did give the podcast a listen and the light tone and chemistry between the two is appealing but I think it might be in the general interest death zone where it's competing with a lot of bigger and better known outlets. The discussion of the Klarman 13F was interesting but I wanted more of a deep dive that would go through his portfolio and try to piece out what he's thinking and why he would pick those stocks, especially some of the smaller holdings. The only people who are going to find a small investing podcast are investing junkies and they are interested in info they can't find elsewhere.

  10. I've been reading a fair amount about certain industries having labor tightness as well as skyrocketing costs of certain commodities. This got me thinking that there a fair share of people who claim since the labor market as a whole has slack, deflation is likely to persist. But if we look at labor markets on micro levels we start to see different stories (see WSJ article below). Does the tightness in labor of specific industries have any parallels to a previous event? One parallel that comes to mind is post-WW2. Amidst WW2, the US rejiggered its economy as a war machine and when the war ended we had all the troops come home and our needs greatly changed. Inflation as well as employment spiked upon their return. We are in the process of dramatically changing certain parts of our economy to cope with a post-COVID world. Is this parallel off? Can you think of any other parallels that refute this hypothesis?

     

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/blue-collar-jobs-boom-as-covid-19-boosts-housing-e-commerce-demand-11613903402?mod=hp_lead_pos1

     

    A Chicago-based truck-trailer manufacturer is increasingly hosting drive-through job fairs and raising wages by up to 7% as hiring picks up across its nine production plants.

     

     

    "Rising trucker wages" is such a joke at this point. WSJ, Bloomberg and Washington Post have run "trucker shortage" stories literally every two weeks for the last twenty five years.

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