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vox

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Everything posted by vox

  1. I'm sorry, but this is flat out false. The Harvard School of Public Health has a compiled a number of peer reviewed studies that demonstrate that firearm access is a risk factor for suicide (https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/means-matter/means-matter/risk/). Their conclusion is "every study that has examined the issue to date has found that within the U.S., access to firearms is associated with increased suicide risk." Country by country comparisons fail to control for the diversity of religious beliefs, socio-economic opportunity, cultural biases, and countless other heterogeneous variables. In the US, states where there are more guns, there are more suicides. Certainly, there will be those that commit suicide by other means, however, a large number of lives would undoubtedly be saved. EDIT: This conclusion is also echoed by the American Public Health Association, American College of Preventive Medicine, American Trauma Society, and American Association of Suicidology in their amicus brief they filed in connection with DC vs. Heller (see pg. 8 http://www.americanbar.org/content/dam/aba/publishing/preview/publiced_preview_briefs_pdfs_07_08_07_290_PetitionerAmCu4MedicalOrgs.authcheckdam.pdf)
  2. There were 11,208 firearm homicides and 21,175 firearm suicides in the US in 2013 (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/homicide.htm and http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/suicide.htm). About 16% of firearm homicides occur during the course of a felony of any kind. The largest percentage of murders, more than 40%, occurs during arguments (Bogus, p. 7 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1140442). Franklin Zimring and Gordon Hawkins have written "Most of the circumstances that generate homicide are not property crimes involving strangers, but arguments among acquaintances that nobody would regard as distinctively criminal until the attack began." If people substituted other weapons for guns, that would reduce overall homicides as other weapons are less deadly. There was a "Tale of Two Cities" study conducted by a team of epidemiologists led by John Henry Sloan and published in the New England Journal of Medicine which compared crime rates over a 7 year period in Seattle, WA and Vancouver British Columbia. Quoting the Bogus article: Suicide rates with firearms have a fatality rate of 85% (https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/means-matter/means-matter/case-fatality/), far in excess of fatality rates by other means. The total suicide fatality rate of all methods is 9%. Let's say that in total, banning firearm would conservatively save 33% of the firearm deaths in the US, so 10,000 people each year. For comparison purposes, the number of Americans that died in the Vietnam war was 58,000. One would have to assign a huge likelihood of mass murder by the US government in order to come close to offsetting the lives saved. For example, it would take a 5% chance each year that 200,000 are killed in some statist dystopia to get an expected lives saved that would offset the deaths prevented by eliminating firearms.
  3. I think what's more troubling than whether Bill Clinton lied about having an extramarital relationship is that the two leading Republican presidential candidates have little regard for telling the truth on the campaign trail. I think that observation holds true regardless of which reputable fact checking website you prefer. Politifact's compilation has Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders (and John Kasich) graded at "True" or "Mostly True" for over 50% of their claims, while the vast majority of Donald Trump and Ted Cruz's statements were graded at "Pants on Fire", "False", or "Mostly False." http://www.politifact.com/personalities/hillary-clinton/ http://www.politifact.com/personalities/bernie-s/ http://www.politifact.com/personalities/donald-trump/ http://www.politifact.com/personalities/ted-cruz/ http://www.politifact.com/personalities/john-kasich/
  4. In the 20th century, the U.S. Presidents that are known to have had affairs include Harding, FDR, Eisenhower, LBJ, JFK, and Bill Clinton. There have undoubtedly been many other Presidents that had mistresses before then, when the press was willing to keep Presidents' secrets. I would guess that in total, between 1/3 and 1/2 of U.S. Presidents have had affairs. To me, there seems to be no correlation between a President having an affair and being a good President. It seems odd to claim that not leaving a spouse who had an affair is indicative of whether someone would be a good President.
  5. Perhaps they already have one. http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/08/how-google-could-rig-the-2016-election-121548 That author seems to have a personal axe to grind with Google. His dispute with Google over their security warning doesn't reflect positively on him.
  6. I think that, like in many occupations, the skills required to get hired/elected are distinct from the skills required to perform well at that job. Perhaps Google should just create an algorithm to determine the next Commander-in-chief.
  7. I did this test in an intro business class in college and I was the only out of ~120 that scored INTJ.
  8. Using free cash flow means interest expense is not deducted, so running this screen would get you a lot of banks and insurance companies. Assuming that you're looking for companies with positive free cash flow, here are some other hats I would throw in the ring: Tivo, Take Two Interactive Software, ITT Educational Services, Hhgregg, Chico's FAS, and RPX Corporation.
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