There's so much information to absorb. 10Ks, 13Fs, and countless threads. Markets are supposed to be efficient but how do you explain AAPL over the last 2 years? If you're not going to index, how do you generate alpha?
Warren Buffet says to read 500 pages every day. That’s how knowledge works. It builds up, like compound interest. And Todd Combs reads a 1,000 pages a day.
We have 600 pages on Sears. Either you believe in Eddie and Bruce and you're buying real estate or it's a declining retailer competing against Amazon.
Do you buy or sell? Sometimes the easiest decision is right in front of you.
How would you summarize some of your highest conviction investments, long or short, in a sentence or two?
Here's a couple:
IBM - capital allocation story, 2% dividend, growing EPS every year, how sticky is their revenue? shorts (Druckenmiller) say they can't grow their revenues or adapt to the cloud
MA - network effect, tollbooth on global economy, % of plastic to cash transactions globally is tiny, will only grow. compounder, paying for growth, PE of high 20s is value given long runway and low cost of capital