I don’t see how anyone rationally minded could currently think that we’re not in an everything bubble. All of these asset classes, and I’m speaking on overall valuation metrics, seem completely detached from their fundamentals. Equities, fixed income, real estate, all bubbles.
The last two sizable crisises, being 2008 and 2020, were almost certainly Great Depression levels events. Our asses were only saved due to massive amounts of government bailouts and stimulus. To me, the question then is when does this dynamic fail? The governemnt can keep bailing us out until they can’t, what then?
Huge deficit spending is happening, with it being almost entirely financed on the short end of the treasury curve. The government is essentially printing cash to fund their spending. This isn’t even mentioning how both candidates are floating more tax cuts and not addressing the issue whatsoever. What happens when inflation finally arrives and in turn, interest rates have to go up? What effect does this have on markets?
I do not feel good about the future.