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Macro event - attack on Iran


shalab
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Any of you have an Intrade account? If so theres a riskfree arb opportunity right now.

 

 

USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran before midnight ET 30 Jun 2012 - probability 45.0%

 

USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran before midnight ET 31 Dec 2012 - probability 31.6%

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I'm starting to look at the oil companies especially CNQ very closely.

 

I think Iran's government is on a mission to develop nuclear weapons and the rhetoric is beginning to grow from Israel that they're going to do something to stop it and beginning to mention more and more a military strikes option.

 

Reports last week from NBC said that Israel is helping to fund anti-government groups within Iran one of whom is helping is assassinate nuclear scientists.

 

The problem is once they acquire nuclear weapons the whole region will begin to nuclear arm themselves shortly afterwards.

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