influx Posted July 6, 2020 Posted July 6, 2020 Hi All. I hope you are well. This might be better for Strategies but was unsure. I have an old Grants article, quote: "(An investor friend relates that he recently bough 250,000 gold calls struck at $500 for five years at a cost of $2 each. Given that that the forward gold price is approximately $370, he observed, the calls are essentially free." So, can you help me understand how one might be able to do this as a non-institutional investor? Are they talking about long-term calls on futures contracts or? Thanks
aws Posted July 6, 2020 Posted July 6, 2020 My trade platform is showing quotes on options for gold futures out thru 2026, so yes 5 year options there are possible. GLD only goes out thru 2022 so less than two years. I can't imagine getting those prices quoted in the article even scaling up for current market prices. That would be like buying $2500 calls for $10, and the quote I am seeing is more like $300 for that option. The longest duration option you could actually buy for a premium of 1/2% and a strike price 35% out of the money is the December 2020 call, so only a bit more than five months of runway.
influx Posted July 9, 2020 Author Posted July 9, 2020 My trade platform is showing quotes on options for gold futures out thru 2026, so yes 5 year options there are possible. GLD only goes out thru 2022 so less than two years. I can't imagine getting those prices quoted in the article even scaling up for current market prices. That would be like buying $2500 calls for $10, and the quote I am seeing is more like $300 for that option. The longest duration option you could actually buy for a premium of 1/2% and a strike price 35% out of the money is the December 2020 call, so only a bit more than five months of runway. Yeah so it is the futures right? That's how I get 5 year leaps? Yeah, sorry, it is an old Grants article, 10 or more years, don't remember.
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