kiwing100 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/02/15/investing-legend-charlie-munger-on-investing-the-buyback-debate-and-much-more.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gfp Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Good stuff - thanks for posting the entire interview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Munger comparing the US to the Roman Empire. Kinda scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HJ Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Munger comparing the US to the Roman Empire. Kinda scary. In historical context he's absolutely right about that. Prior to the financial crisis, US was arguably more than the Roman Empire in its relative standing in the world. Things have been fraying since. Sooner or later it declines in its relative importance to the world, but the time scale of Roman decline was measured in centuries. One can argue it happens quicker today because of advances in communications technologies, and the speed of information propagation. In geopolitical terms, US is still the new continent. For 500 years, humanity has been migrating from Eurasia to the Americas. There's no reason it stops now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
savant Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orchard Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 It's the opposite of what John Wooden did at UCLA. You don't want each one of your PMs choosing their best ideas. You want your best PM to have his best picks and your 6th best PM not to get a single pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rod Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nickenumbers Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Rod is correct. And human nature being what it is, we cease to be objective, rational and detached/open. We become the man with the hammer seeing most situations as a Nail [our solution]. Better to be open to other ideas, or open to change our own mind even though we have fallen in love with the work that we did to prove our conclusion. Facts and results make us Right. People agreeing with us does not make us right and love of our idea does not make us right. Only Facts/Results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gfp Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 Oh gosh, someone should tell Willow Oak! http://willowoakfunds.com/select/ What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coc Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Do you recall where this was said? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rod Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Do you recall where this was said? It's in the first 10 minutes of this Mohnish Pabrai talk: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 What is the answer to why the experiment using the best idea of each PM every year did not work? I think I’ve heard Charlie say that the reason it didn’t work is that each manager picked the idea they had done the most work on. He was illustrating a bias that we supposedly have to value most what we have invested the most in. In this case time. Do you recall where this was said? It's in the first 10 minutes of this Mohnish Pabrai talk: Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
savant Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Thanks Rod! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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