tol1
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Primers on crude steel and aluminium markets, production and by-products
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Tx - Not sure what you are referring to, but steel production (Europe) is growing. -
Strong fundamental European long/short equity investors
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Well, you have certain thresholds depending on the country for long positions, but they are at higher thresholds (3% / 5%). Short positions you can fairly easy pull. -
Strong fundamental European long/short equity investors
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Thanks, he has a great track record, indeed. Are you referring to Marathon Asset Management? Don't they only do credit and RE? -
Primers on crude steel and aluminium markets, production and by-products
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Under standing the demand/supply dynamics and industry players better. More about the implied economics and understanding the cycle. Wiki is not quite there yet. -
Strong fundamental European long/short equity investors
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Keen to hear about more longer-term oriented fundamental investors in equities in London. Thanks -
Primers on crude steel and aluminium markets, production and by-products
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Anyone please? -
Quality on VIC used to be significantly better years ago. Nowadays, members just post something quickly to remain member. Many small-cap and illiquid ideas. Also, I have seen some write-ups on investments I had made before. There have been mistakes and I would suggest to do your own work. Pulling a full-blown idea from VIC for interviews is outright lazy btw (unless you just get the ticker and do your own thinking / work). They used to have 250 members, so no surprise applications get rejected all the time.
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Hey, As one of the initial steps of my research process I look at the industry in-depth. There is some well-known concentrated industries in Europe and that include companies such as Airbus and LVMH. Are there others including more niche areas that you have looked into and liked?
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EPV - Reproduction and earnings power value in practice
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
I had a go with the excess return and EPV method in a mature, competitive industry. As per excess return method the implied value was in line with the current share price, whereas the EPV showed a value 30% below the current price. To me it seems that the methods only work for businesses with a LT historically stable margin / asset base. -
Strong fundamental European long/short equity investors
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Does anyone know Orbis and or Oldfield Partners? In particular, annualized return since inception, culture, etc. - thanks -
Strong fundamental European long/short equity investors
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Any others in London please? -
EPV - Reproduction and earnings power value in practice
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Thanks all - I concur that the concept is very good (on paper), in particular, the method of deriving a margin of safety. - Do you use appraisers for assessing the reproduction value? In particular, PP&E excluding land and Greenwald's goodwill adjustments by adding a multiple of SG&A are subjective IMO. - Regarding the EPV I am sceptical as historical earnings, even if they were consistent, do not necessarily apply going forward. Usually, there is a reason why a stock is cheap, and that is that the future ability to achieve the same level of earnings is impaired. -
Hey, Some of you may have come across the EPV method to derive an adjusted NAV and so called earnings power value. Greenwald is one of the advocates of the method. I like the concept, but still struggle with it from a practical point of view: 1. Reproduction value: heavily depends on assumptions, ideally done by appraisers 2. EPV: starts off with a 'sustainable' operating profit; simply taking historical averages can skew valuation results heavily and I rather understand how P&L drivers impact the profit in the next 2-3 years instead of relying on historical means What are your thoughts on those 2 points and if so, how do you apply the EPV method?
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Hey, Plenty of well known US fundamental long/short equity investors, but what about European ones based in London? TCI, Egerton and Lansdowne fall into the category - anyone else with a rather concentrated portfolio?
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Rights issue versus capital increase with large SHs
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Appreciate if anyone has some practical knowledge in this equity capital markets area. Thanks -
Hey, A company is likely to raise equity in a large amount (30% of market cap) and has 1 large shareholder (20%) on its register. A few questions please: - How does a company decide whether to do a rights issue or a capital increase? Can the large shareholder block either? - Does the discount of either to the current share price differ? - How much is a usual discount in both processes? - A 3-for-10 rights issue implies the share count increases by 30%. Does that mean that the EPS automatically decreases by 30% at the same time? Thank you
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Speaking to start-up hedge funds - what to look out for
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Tx - all fair / relevant points, in particular regarding Co-PMs. At the ending of the day there is so many moving parts that can lead to one not accepting an offer. Hence, I may opt for starting my own fund at some point. -
Speaking to start-up hedge funds - what to look out for
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Tx - Anything regarding the structure of the fund itself? Is there certain red flags when it comes to discretion and or profit sharing? -
Speaking to start-up hedge funds - what to look out for
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
I think you may have misread my post. I am an investor myself and may join a start-up hedge fund. -
Speaking to start-up hedge funds - what to look out for
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
It is a relatively small industry per strategy and people reach out. -
Hi everyone, I am speaking to start-up hedge funds (I am a fundamental equities investor) that I could potentially join as Partner and was wondering what the key questions are. So far, I have focused on LP composition, overall size and lock-up for LPs, discretion for me, profit share, investment strategy and work streams, and vision. Appreciate every comment or advice. Thanks
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I want to look at AMZN on a country-by-country level and get data such as number of items offered, number of AMZN prime members, price comparisons vs peers by country etc. - Anyone come across a reliable provider or source? Thanks
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Hedge fund Analyst looking for role in fundamental equity shop
tol1 replied to tol1's topic in General Discussion
Thank you for the private messages so far.