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siddharth18

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Posts posted by siddharth18

  1. One more feature I loved in InteractiveBrokers was access to data from small hedge funds that use their platform..

    PS: This feature is FREE!

     

    Would you know if this feature is available to IB's retail clients or only to their hedge fund clients?

     

    Oh it's open to a retail client like myself (I haven't invested in any of the funds). And I have an individual cash account with minimal balance and I have access to it. I claim myself as an accredited investor, so maybe that's why it shows me the data?

     

    Here's how it looks:

     

    http://i.imgur.com/vDeAZz6.png

  2. One more feature I loved in InteractiveBrokers was access to data from small hedge funds that use their platform: Their past performance, AUM, fees, holdings, client letters, etc. Believe it or not, there's a lot of good stuff to be had from that section, especially for those that are new to this game, and, at some point are hoping to work at or start their own fund down the road.

     

    PS: This feature is FREE!

  3. If you are away from your desktop/laptop and are likely to trade from your mobile phone, I find their login process cumbersome. They give a credit card sized card with random codes assigned to numbers from 1 to 256 and at login time you are presented with 2 numbers and you are supposed to enter the 6 character code (by looking up your card), which bothered me a lot. It takes more than 45 seconds for me to login (I am old).

     

    There is an electronic alternative to the physical card, which may give you a better experience (I have not tried it).

     

    You can OPT OUT of this by going to "Manage Account" --> "Security"

     

    Don't disable two factor authorization! Seriously, you're dealing with a lot of money ...

     

    You need a minimum amount of value in your account for one of the two electronic alternatives and I'm too poor for that :)

     

    +1

     

    I wish all other brokerages had it too, instead of the impotent "security questions" or worse - no 2-step authentication at all.

     

    Disabling 2-step authentication is buying short-term comfort at the risk of acquiring a lot of long-term pain.

     

    @Eric - I'm amazed by the attention to detail you include in all your comments/answers. It's no surprise your returns are way up there.  ;)  Thanks for being generous with your knowledge.

  4. If you are away from your desktop/laptop and are likely to trade from your mobile phone, I find their login process cumbersome. They give a credit card sized card with random codes assigned to numbers from 1 to 256 and at login time you are presented with 2 numbers and you are supposed to enter the 6 character code (by looking up your card), which bothered me a lot. It takes more than 45 seconds for me to login (I am old).

     

    There is an electronic alternative to the physical card, which may give you a better experience (I have not tried it).

     

    You can OPT OUT of this by going to "Manage Account" --> "Security"

  5. We were being taught the dark art by a very cunning bastard at the time, who is unfortunately deceased today ......

     

    He was a senior exec for a telecom & used 1/2 his salary, most of his bonus, & the proceeds from writing puts on fellow tech firms, into the purchase of 1 oz gold wafers. At the time, gold bullion was at ridiculous prices & you got snide remarks every time you went into a bank to buy a wafer or two. When the tech sector imploded the puts made him a millionaire a few times over. When he died, there were 6200 wafers under his bed at $2800 a pop! 

     

    The forms of investment might differ, but the sectors do not.

     

    SD

     

    Did you mean to say that he bought puts rather than wrote puts ???

     

    Yeah confused about this as well! I think he meant bought puts (or wrote calls) ?

     

     

    Also, if they were 1oz gold wafers, they couldn't be worth $2800/pop, right?

  6. @Muscleman: I feel like Etrade, Tradeking, , TDAmeritrade, Fidelity, etc are all "basic" compared to the level of sophistication you receive at IB. This is assuming that what you want to buy is available at all brokers. For most US listed stocks, if you're trading in small quantities, the only variable to compare is the final commission. If you buy 100 shares @ $10/share, you'll just pay $1 in commission at IB, compared to $5-$10 at flat-pricing brokers.

     

    If you buy AWLCF (Awilco Drilling on OTC), IB and TradeKing won't allow it at all. Fidelity will tack on a $50 foreign fee and Etrade/TDAmeritrade will just charge you the regular $9.99/trade.

     

    But at the end of the day, each will have it's strengths/weaknesses. For me, Fidelity lets me purchase stocks in countries where IB won't (for example: Norway). But for purchasing stocks on Toronto Stock Exchange, IB is better than Etrade/Fidelity because of the competitive forex rates.

     

    While IB has lots of bells and whistles, its UI takes getting used to, and yes, there's a learning curve.

     

    Bottom line is that not everyone will have same needs, and not everything will be equally priced. In order to get the best of everything, you may have to understand pricing for each transaction at each broker and then pick the best option at your disposal.

     

     

    Many retail brokers play games with your order to generate additional profits.  Etrade is awful

    Can you please elaborate on this? I'd like to know what specifically is bad about Etrade.

    Before placing a trade, I just view live quotes at atleast 2-3 brokers and then proceed to place a limit order.

  7.  

    Anyone here own/used to own gas stations? I'm trying to learn more about this business. What type of ROI/ROE/ROA can one expect from such a business?

     

     

    I know that profit comes from the convenience store, not from gas, but that's about it.

     

     

    Here is a sample listing I saw:

     

     

    Price = $165,000 + $55,000 (inventory) =$ 220,000.

     

     

    Gross Profit = $288,000 (from the "Business Description).

     

     

    EBITDA = $125,000 (they define it as "cash flow).

     

     

    http://www.bizbuysell.com/Business-Opportunity/Gas-Convenience-Northwest-Orlando/764819/

     

     

    Thoughts?

  8. Jim Cramer fills a pretty good void. Especially for people who:

     

    1. Have money

    2. Want to make money

    3. Want to make no effort to achieve step (2)

    4. Want someone to tell them how to do it effortlessly

     

     

    AKA the proverbial free lunch.

  9.  

    Well gee! Out of all people in the world, who'd have thought that the group making hundreds of millions off of SAC would come and defend SAC? Isn't SAC one of the few firms remaining that trades the old fashioned way and pays a higher commission per share? If their statement says anything, it's that there's a lot of money at stake for them.

     

    That Goldman's statement should carry with it any ounce of credibility is beyond my comprehension. But then again, Goldman is no stranger to doing questionable things to acquire the Almighty Dollar.

  10. Here's the latest Tilson / Forbes interview (from end-June.....sorry if it's been posted already).

     

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/steveforbes/2013/06/27/whitney-tilson-wisdom-on-value-artists-like-buffett-and-klarman/

     

    From this I'd highlight the following:

     

    Forbes: You’re going to bite out of Apple?

    Tilson: Are asking do I own Apple stock? I do. I got back into it just before they reported earnings a few weeks ago, a little under $400 a share. Added a little more after earnings. My feeling about Apple is: I’m not sure what to think about it long term, but I think it’s likely to do well in the next six monthsor so simply because I think they’re in a new product launch.

     

    And later he talks about JC Penney.....

     

    Tilson: I actually am back in it just in the past month or so......I think the stock is a quick ride into the mid-$20s. And then again, then I’ll have to decide if I believe in the long-term turnaround or not.

     

    And then the interview ends with this:

     

    Forbes: Finally, what’s the best money advice you ever got?

    Tilson: I would say Warren Buffett, years and years ago (he’s repeated this many times when he meets with students) has always said, “The best way to think about investing is you’re coming out of business school or you’re coming out of college now. And you have a card, and it has 20 punches. And every time you make one

    investment, you have to punch that card, and that’s all you get for your whole life. Not for the month, not for the year. That’s your life. You can make 20 investments.”

     

    20 punches, eh??  ::)

     

    Absurd to think that guys like these can find millions of dollars to run year after year even after lackluster results.

  11. Dr. Burry's bet was far from speculation. He not only read the mind-numbingly complex MBS prospectuses, but practically incited Wall Street to create CDS on subprime mortgages. He also clearly explains that his bet wasn't betting on an Armageddon scenario but specific tranches of subprime mortgages that would feel the most stress due to rate resets. For him, it was an incredibly asymmetric bet with a catalyst.

     

    As for Paulson, I gotta wonder who's running the show. Paolo Pellegrini was the one who did the original subprime research and then Paulson saw it and approved it. Maybe the best thing for him would be to retire after subprime bet? (Like Andrew Lahde)  ;D

  12. Has anyone done the research on Banro (BAA)?  There are 4 analysts covering it and they are putting 2014 earnings at around $1 against a stock with a $1.32 stock price.  When you dig into the details beyond that the story gets more ugly.  The mines are in the congo, management is going to issue 25% more shares, continued push for expansion, etc.  However, if they can meet their targets and the gold bear market ever ends they could do extremely well.

     

    caledonia is one that I am in that is similar with african exposure and low pe.  While the PE is not 1x like banro, they have also paid significant dividends.

     

    I don't know why all you guys are sniffing around these awful obscure juniors and exploration companies. The major producers are ON SALE. Barrick had an adjusted P/E of 5 on friday, it's lower today.

     

    I held Caledonia for the first 5 or 6 years of the gold bull and it is a total dog. I dumped it and shifted to High River Gold, it was a 14X or 15X off the 2008 lows (no, I didn't pick the lows then alas). HRG is about to get bought so probably not much left upside left there.

     

    But that said, the majors are dirt cheap! I did a workup last night and made a "report style" PDF for my website, probably a little simplistic for the likes of this board but it gets the basics across. But I wrote it before today's continuing crash.

     

    Who knows where this is going to stop, I see various opinions shooting emails all over the place with technical support points, whatever. I'm just waiting for the dust to settle but the major producers are cheaper now than in lows of October 2008.

     

    I'm attaching the PDF, but remember, these numbers use friday's closing data. Not today's.

     

    The main thing I'm thinking about now is with gold prices this low, what does that do to margin compression (but I guess if it impacts too much, production will slow down),

     

    The question remains - how long will Gold fall and to how much? Unless you are a macro expert - buying gold equities is implicitly betting that Gold won't sink as to make the mines unprofitable.

     

    Gold is only worth as much as the buyers think it's worth and currently the buyers are scarce. Gold also didn't rise after 2011 even as we witnessed increase in Q/E, Greek crisis, Japanese Q/E.

  13. What about Sandstorm Gold? You know - the royalty based, star jockey's (Nolan Watson) company?

     

    P/E seems pretty high but someone with knowledge of financials/outlook can comment (AboveAverageOdds - AAOI) ?

     

    While Gold's thesis hasn't changed, Gold hasn't seen a meaningful correction in pretty long. It could be a long and rocky road before things turn around.

  14. Hey all,

     

    I was perusing Mike Burry's early letters where here discussed options compensation in riveting detail. My understanding of options pricing and the respective accounting is quite superficial at this point. His contention is that the traditional way options are priced, expensed and accounted for - is based on Black-Scholes and hence meaningless. Also that intrinsic value is created if the company issues shares at price above intrinsic value.

     

    I would like to know if anyone else calculates the option compensation in a way Dr. Burry does? Does any book/article cover this subject in detail? Has Buffett touched this topic?

     

    Here is the link to letter: http://www.scioncapital.com/PDFs/Scion%202001%202Q_web.pdf (starting page 3)

     

    To quote Burry: "The investors in the habit of overturning the most stones will find the most success."

  15. ...put to rest this myth that dividend are always better than buybacks when valuations are steep. 

     

     

    Cui bono? If you are Warren Buffett holding Coca Cola in 1998 and the stock is selling at a stratospheric valuation, it doesn't benefit the long term shareholder (Buffett in this case) if KO initiates a buyback at that valuation.

     

    My understanding is:

     

    All the intrinsic value that is lost (lost because you spend $1 to buy back stock worth less than $1) from buyback executed at steep levels is completely and proportionately transferred from the company coffers (long term shareholders) to the sellers of KO stock.

     

    Since all companies are run under the mandate of maximizing long-term shareholder value, isn't overpriced buyback always ill-fated?

     

    Said another way: Buybacks executed at prices higher than intrinsic value benefit short term sellers at the detriment of long term share holders, right?

     

     

    With the benefit of hindsight of course - but if Coca-Cola could have issued new shares in 1998 to raise cash and then turned around and used that amount to buyback the stock in 2000-2001, it would have benefited long term shareholders at the expense of short term shareholders - which is exactly a company ought to be doing.

  16. I've got to ask - many of those that are long AIG can truly digest the 350+ page annual report?

     

    Hence, I just stick to the micro/small caps.

     

     

    I guess the Berkshire Hathaway report, at only 112 pages, would be the much longer of the two if it provided an equivalent amount of information about each subsidiary.

     

    Understanding a business doesn't mean you understand every single element of it, but rather that you understand the probability of your upside and downside.

     

    The simplest businesses to understand are lemonade stands. If you're going for simplicity, buy a mafia network of them.

     

    Well yes. I suppose I'm just naive. I don't have much experience in evaluating insurance businesses and part of me just equates the size of the annual report to the complexity of the business. I also equate a full understanding of the business to having an edge in a particular investment. With AIG, I neither have a complete understanding of the business (a complete and thorough cognizance of all elements) nor foresee a competitive advantage over today's sellers of AIG.

     

    But it doesn't bother me one bit; I just move over to stocks in my wheelhouse!

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