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InelegantInvestor

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Posts posted by InelegantInvestor

  1. Not sure about financing is still profitable.

    My dealer is offering 5% interest for a new car, in exchange that he pay for 4 months of my current/old car’s lease payments.

    I turned it down to opt for 2.79% financing from BoA, despite losing 4 months of lease payments.

    The BoA is a better deal over 5 years (compared to I refinance the 5% dealership loan after 90 days)

     

    I hate these dealership. Making car buying so tiring.

    The dealer isn't financing, they are getting paid to originate loan.

  2. There are plenty of headwinds (ecommerce, transparency for consumers, rising rates etc) and I am looking for any positives. Any bull arguments and data much welcome.

     

    Apart from that, a few questions that arose during my readings:

     

    - I saw that while the sales price per vehicle has grown both for new and used vehicles since 2011/12, gross profit per car has come down for dealers. Who has benefited from the price increase? OEMs only?

    - Also, I wonder how the average gross profit per vehicle breaks down into a) front margin, b) warranty, c) OEM incentives etc on an absolute dollar basis

    - Has there been any news on a potential consolidation among listed dealerships?

     

    As long as dealer laws exist, there is still some value in the dealership. It is increasingly difficult for independent dealers to survive, especially as interest rates on floor plan financing have risen.

     

    New car sales are essentially breakeven. Profit is on financing, add-ons, used cars/trade-ins, and service.

     

    There are still a ton of independent dealerships. Consolidation among those is inevitable.

  3. Keep in mind that combing the pink-sheets is digging in dog-sh1te.

    https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/070313/use-caution-trading-pink-sheet-stocks.asp

     

    If the firm could not make/maintain a listing requirement, do you really want to be in it?

    If the firm (Nestle, etc.) is actually listed elsewhere (just not in the US), is it really 'unlisted'?

     

    Investors prefer to trade on a listed exchange because there is far more investor protection.

    Trading a pink sheet is akin to trading on a back street exchange, and hoping the other side is going to be honest with you.

    It is not in their interest.

     

    SD

     

     

    I'm really cool with this attitude. It means that those pink sheet, unlisted companies that are worth buying will trade at a deeper discount then they otherwise would. The better for me to buy, my dear.

     

    Only so long as it doesn't BK next week!

     

    SD

     

    I've had a number of bankruptcies in listed stocks. I cannot remember any in unlisted. I'm certainly not suggesting buying indiscriminately, but information can be found, and it is all the more valuable when it takes some digging.

  4. Keep in mind that combing the pink-sheets is digging in dog-sh1te.

    https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/070313/use-caution-trading-pink-sheet-stocks.asp

     

    If the firm could not make/maintain a listing requirement, do you really want to be in it?

    If the firm (Nestle, etc.) is actually listed elsewhere (just not in the US), is it really 'unlisted'?

     

    Investors prefer to trade on a listed exchange because there is far more investor protection.

    Trading a pink sheet is akin to trading on a back street exchange, and hoping the other side is going to be honest with you.

    It is not in their interest.

     

    SD

     

     

    I'm really cool with this attitude. It means that those pink sheet, unlisted companies that are worth buying will trade at a deeper discount then they otherwise would. The better for me to buy, my dear.

  5. AUM continue to sink by (20%) in just 6 months. The fund underperformed the index in 2016. The portfolio smells Tobacco (36.7% exposure).

     

    http://www.wintergreenfund.com/reports/ar/

     

    We keep moving forward, opening up new doors and doing new things... and curiosity keeps landing us down new paths.

    Walt Disney

    Is there a period of time for which the fund did not underperform the index?

    Also, interesting that he does not mention Consolidated Tomoka, one of his largest holdings, and where he is amidst a long fight with management(that he put in place).

  6. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-31/buffett-bought-12-billion-of-stock-from-election-through-friday

     

    Rose asked if Buffett’s most-recent purchases included airlines. Buffett ducked the question, saying only that Berkshire held stakes in airlines as of Sept. 30.

     

    In November, Berkshire disclosed that it held in American Airlines Group Inc., Delta Air Lines Inc., and United Continental Holdings Inc. at the end of the third quarter. The billionaire said that month that Berkshire also bought a stake in Southwest Airlines Co. since Sept. 30.

     

    Buffett told Rose he wouldn’t get into why Berkshire bought the shares, but said that it was “in large part” his decision.

    Perhaps it was his decision, but I think someone else did the convincing...

     

    http://www.nytimes.com/2005/05/26/business/diverse-mix-of-investors-in-airline-deal.html?_r=0

     

     

    Wow, so Warren did have some sort of input into buying the airlines.

  7. Should be stockspinoffs.com with an 's'. We fell a bit behind in updating, but we're trying to catch up. Any ideas or suggestions are always welcome.

    Any suggestion, websites, etc. for generating special situation ideas?

     

    Spinoffmonitor.com

    stockspinoff.com

    clarkstreetvalue.blogspot.com

    twitter.com (lots of garbage there though)

     

    etc.

  8. You need to look at cash position and burn rate. If they can't cover the cost of getting a drug to market you will get diluted or it won't get to market.

     

    You want to see a pipeline with multiple promising candidates because you can't accurately predict which will ultimately be approved.  Management that has experience getting drugs through the approval process is a big deal.

     

    Even after all that, I would advise buying in a basket to spread the risk.

  9. I suspect that a large part of the Hostess problem was that Wonder Bread forced them to have a ton of bakeries and a distribution network, whereas the snack foods(with longer shelf life) could have been serviced from a handful of plants and sold through wholesalers.  Wonder Bread should be asset-lite, licensing the brand to regional bakeries.

     

    I'm ready to give running this a try if someone will back me. And I won't triple my own salary after filing bankruptcy.

  10. Thanks for mentioning stockspinoffs.com, eclecticvalue. We try to keep the spinoff tables up to date and post at least a brief blurb on every spinoff, but it can be tough with the current rate of spins!  Please let us know if you find any incorrect or missing info, have any content to submit, or any other suggestions(generic@weneca.com).  We couldn't find a good, free list of spinoffs, so we decided to build one.

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