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Kuhndan

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Posts posted by Kuhndan

  1. Buffett has said in the past that he anticipates Berkshire Hathaway stock going up once he passes as investor speculate on the break up value of the company. Given the Board in place and Buffett’s wishes, I don’t see a break up happening.

  2. I'm not saying it isnt cheap (and I'm long) but if you count the equities you are implicitly including a bunch of the value of the insurance. There were over $160 B in liabilities related to the insurance operation last quarter. I get the concept of float, but I think treating that as equity (vs a long term cheap loan) is an aggressive way to think about it.

     

    If you wanted to sell the insurance cos without their financial assets but with their policy liabilities, you'd be sending a bunch of money out the door to get someone to take them.

     

    Good point. Buffett himself says that if you include the equities in your intrinsic value calculation, you do not include any value for the insurance companies.

  3. The final straw for me was when they changed the administrative fees for The Lion Fund. Basically mimics a 2 and 20 payment plan. He has really only purchased two stocks, Cracker Barrel and BH, which does’t seem to warrant $6 - $7 million a year. Throw in all of the conflict issues, royalty agreement, incentive comp agreement at BH, the CCA deal, the rights offering at a much lower price to buy back stock at a much higher to gain control and I lost faith.

  4. Check out this link.

     

    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/721447/000120919116128259/xslF345X03/doc4.xml

     

    Sardar really doesn’t care, he already made his money on CCA back in 2016. The Lion Fund transferred the shares to Biglari Holdings at $5.75 (see bullet point number 3). Is this a conflict? At the time, CCA was selling for significantly less. The move enabled him to book a gain at the Lion Fund, meanwhile Biglari Holdings shareholders have been waiting to be paid. My guess is Funston doesn’t have the money and he isn’t getting any bites on selling the company any where close to $6.00 a share. Only thing they can do is wait. Not a good look.

  5. Bought 100 shares of Control Data in 1976 when I was 16. It took me seven years to save up $2,300 mowing grass and delivering papers. Sold out at $2,800 several months later and I’ve been hooked ever since. Couldn’t believe you could make that kind of money without “working” for it. Always been thankful that that first investment worked out. Things probably would have been different if it was a loss.

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