waynepolsonAtoZ
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Everything posted by waynepolsonAtoZ
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It's good. I also watched their appearance on Monday, when the "assigned topic" was FnF lending to the Blackrock's of the world to buy up single family homes as rental properties. Bove and Rosner tried to talk about the "discovery documents" as much as they could, but the CNBC folk tried to keep them on the assigned topic. Anyway, it was good that they got to come back today.
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Four women seem to fit the criteria. Batchelder, Smith Gibbons, Cook, and White. Batchelder was the Chief Judge until she turned 70. She is classified as a judge rather than a senior judge for some reason. Gibbons sounds ok. Cook had a shot at being appointed to SCOTUS, but wasn't. She sounds ok. White was originally nominated by Clinton, but was approved during the Bush Administration, she sounds like a D to me.
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I think the reality is that The Donald isn't super relevant. The problem is that the guys like Cohn and Mnuchin are more or less free to do whatever they want, and that isn't likely to be good for FnF or, by extension, equity investors in FnF securities. Recap obviously makes sense for America, but not for the guys that have made their careers out of hating FnF. Mnuchin, arguably, falls into that category as he was involved in private label MBS at GS. Watt is OK though, but he's said he won't act on his own, although he might be rethinking that. Also, some of the litigation might end up diminishing his independence and ability to do something supportive of recap. Lots of court of appeals cases going on. Maybe 2 out of three judges on one of the panels will agree with Judge Brown.
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"Come on now, Mnuchin and Watt are calling the shots." The recent litigations by the way are stupid in that they try to claim that Watt doesn't have valid jurisdiction because he is a sole regulator (not a multimember panel like FERC or FCC). WATT is on our side basically. Mnuchin and Gary Cohn are probably NOT on our side!!! Why try to strip our friend of jurisdiction. A court in Texas might actually believe the theory that went against CFPB. I wrote about this here. https://seekingalpha.com/article/4011863-fannie-freddie-cfpb-court-decision-appeal-waiting-continues
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Lots of great info (I bought roughly 5000 shares of FMCKI this am after skimming it). Anyway, David Thompson is great. Interesting that they are now involved in cases at the 5, 6, 7, and 8th circuits. I guess they are appellate guys so the litigants in the cases added them to their teams once they went to the appeals court level.
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HERA of 2008 is a bad enough law (as interpreted by the courts) to be worried. Recap seems inevitable but maybe later not sooner. There has been no absolutely explicit taking so far. NWS is very close to being explicit, but not quite. So, the court of claims case is a little uncertain. I still like the DE case pretty well though. Sincerely yours. Debbie Downer
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Link https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-19/berkowitz-says-fannie-freddie-legal-fight-may-go-five-more-years I don't think the Sweeney case is doomed. It might take a while though. Also, the DE stuff isn't doomed, wait and see. I did downsize. I now have exactly $1 m of preferreds (redemption value). I'm optimistic about that position doing well eventually.
