Congrats guys - very happy (and jealous)!
Phacelia - I do not know how you calculated 8%, but since CFAI does not publish separate numbers for 1st time takers and retakers, the number I believe you are suggesting is a maximum ... more likely for 3/3 people the real statistics are (my rough estimates)
LI - about 30%, as retakers will have a significant advantage
LII - about 40%, retakers have an advantage but not such a great one as this is a tough exam (as we all know)
LIII - no idea, but I assume its again skewed in favor of retakers, so let's assume 45%
This comes out to around 5.5% .... so I would say anywhere between 5 and 8 percent chance
Are you taking L3 next June? Have you signed up yet?