Jump to content

kimoser22

Member
  • Posts

    9
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by kimoser22

  1. Just to add on demographics, no one has really been able to solve the declining birthrates in the developed world problem.

    Normal pronatalist policies probably help a tiny bit but not enough to stop developed countries from eventually having declining populations (ex migration)...Romania under Ceaușescu increased the birth rate under draconian policies but there was also this... APA.org

     

     

  2. On 4/27/2023 at 12:24 PM, Luca said:

    230109_Cancian_FirstBattle_NextWar (1).pdf 3.11 MB · 0 downloads

     

    From Center of strategic and international studies: 

     

    https://www.csis.org/analysis/first-battle-next-war-wargaming-chinese-invasion-taiwan

     

    They ran an interesting simulation and looked at different outcomes of invasion in Taiwan. 80 Pager research. I think its quite accurate, i will also post what Chris Miller, the Professor who wrote the Book Chip War said about a Taiwan Invasion. 

     

    image.png.b389e43e35ce7f9f0cd3acad9d762c08.png

    Yeah and in the war game the US/ Taiwan side wins but loses lives and materials. Unless the US doesn’t come in fighting and tries to supply Taiwan Ukraine style, then Taiwan loses easily which,IMO, is why they let’s not kill each other just provide material support is a CCP talking point in the Dailo article. 

    • Like 1
  3. 14 minutes ago, sleepydragon said:

     

    I don't think things are that bad.

    Ray Dalio has personal friendship with some of the highest level officials in China. I feel what he wrote above is largely on behalf of these high ranking Chinese official whom he talked with while he was in China. This is the message that China want to get across.  Now, if you imagine these are not the words from Ray Dalio, but from people like Liu He, it's seems to me China is trying to de-escalate through un-official channel.

     

     

    Agree.
     

    A lot of the article seem like Chinese talking points. Not to say some criticisms aren’t fair, we are choosing to block Chinas access to advanced tech which is a pretty belligerent move…but the “hey guiz let’s not shoot each other when we invade Taiwan, feel free to provide as many arms to them as you need to…” line seems like str8 central committee propaganda 

×
×
  • Create New...