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Everything posted by Parsad
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Hi Buffett Groupie, You'll have to set up another poll to do that. Geez, you would think an IT guy would figure that out! ;D Cheers!
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Hi Farnam, I put it back up. Cheers!
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Hi there Farnam, Mohnish and I had no idea that it was from a site. I've removed it. If anyone wants a copy, please purchase it directly from Farnam's blog. They are very good notes. Cheers!
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I don't know who transcribed it, but it was sent to me by the fellow mentioned on page 17! :o Great job whoever did it. Cheers!
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Hi Folks, Here is a detailed transcript of the Daily Journal Meeting with Munger. Cheers! DJCO_Meeting.pdf
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Walker's Manual of Unlisted Stocks - Harry Eisenberg
Parsad replied to oddballstocks's topic in Books
Hi Oddball, Feel free to put the link here, as the book is out of print, and I'm sure people are interested in a resource for small/micro cap stocks. I don't mind links...just don't put the rates, etc, on here. People should go to the site and decide if they want to pay...I don't want anyone to feel we are endorsing someone specific. Cheers! -
Walker's Manual of Unlisted Stocks - Harry Eisenberg
Parsad replied to oddballstocks's topic in Books
Andrew, along with David Polonitza, will be presenting at our dinner in Toronto. You guys should ask Andrew to bring the Walkers Manual back...or maybe an online version. Cheers! -
Corner of Berkshire & Fairfax Message Board - 11th Anniversary!
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Not a whole lot! It was basically me standing in the lobby outside at the Omaha Golf & Country Club, and just noticing Buffett walk in with his security and daughter Susie. I just said "Hi Mr. Buffett, can I get a photo with you? "Sure!" And he shook my hand. I then kind of awkwardly stood there, since my friend John was back inside at the Yellow BRKers Party. "Do you have someone who can take the photo?" Asked Susie? "My friend is inside"..."I can take it for you", she graciously offered. "That would be great! Thanks very much!" And that was it...some more thanks from me...and a "best of luck to you" from Buffett. But it was like a lightning bolt...meeting the guy who brought you this rational framework for investing and life! He then spoke for about 40 minutes at the party. Cheers! -
Corner of Berkshire & Fairfax Message Board - 11th Anniversary!
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
- who was the most surprising person you've ever interviewed ? As in did you have any expectations about certain individuals who blew them out of the park or changed your perception ? It's funny, I never really went into any interview with any preconceived notions. The one amazing thing is that all of them were very nice and personable...even Sardar! ;D Most became very good friends. Larry Sarbit is an awfully funny guy though, so that was one interesting thing. - Who had the most peculiar investment advice you'd ever heard ? Actually the interviews usually had somewhat conventional ideas. The most peculiar idea came from a very good friend of mine and Mohnish's...indirectinvestor! He was interested in buying a pistachio farm outside of Bakersfield, California. It was a great idea, as it's probably gone up 2-3 times in the last two years, but it wasn't your conventional type of idea. - What are the 3 best pieces of advice you've ever gotten ? First was from my father..."You can do whatever you want." Second was from Prem..."Just do it. Whatever money you have or you can raise, start a partnership and build a track record." Third was from my old friend John Zemanovich (lotsofcoke)..."Let me know when you are going to Omaha, and I'll take you to the Yellow BRK'ers Party". That's where I met Buffett the first time, met Mohnish the first time and that trip changed my investing life. I'm sure there was other pieces of great advice over the years, but those come to mind. - What do you love the most about this board ? The comradery, long friendships I've formed, the ability to share ideas and comfort it provides many other people. - What originally attracted you to investing and how do you think that's had an impact on your life & happyness ? My Dad died when I was in my 4th year of university...my Mom was a 37 year old widow and I had to raise my 9-year old brother. I quit school to work, and then realized that I wasn't going to get anywhere working for other people. I started to invest, but was having sporadic luck...Peter Lynch, buy what you know...didn't work! I stumbled across Berkshire's website and read his letters, then Graham. I sold everything and bought Berkshire B's near the bottom in late 1999-early 2000. That changed everything from that day and my happiness has increased 100 fold. It not only improved my life, but my family's and friends. It was the seed that allowed me to create this board, make wonderful new friends, start a partnership with my cousin Alnesh, create our dinner in Toronto, sell a portion of our U.S. partnership to our director and friends Glen & Andrew, assist the CCFC with fundraising...so many good things started from that first Buffett letter I read in late 1998. So many more to come! - In the next 5-10 years where do you see the board going ? I just see it continuing to grow. It's not going to suddenly change into something like the Motley Fool, but it will remain community oriented, relatively small and hopefully will continue to create an atmosphere where investors can change their lives. What better testimonial can we get than Ericopoly buying a fractional Netjets stake when BAC hits $18-20! ;D Cheers! -
Corner of Berkshire & Fairfax Message Board - 11th Anniversary!
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Thanks very much everyone! It's been my pleasure. I think Ericopoly used the words "life changing" and I'm proof of that! Before I started the board, I was still in a funk 10 years after my father died...I was working to help raise my 9-year old brother with my widowed mother...and this wonderful stock called Berkshire Hathaway popped up on my radar screen. A couple of years later and the original version of this board was started. All the friends I've made...in the industry and outside of it. The wonderful partners that are part of our funds...both still with us and those that have moved to greener pastures. And of course, my comrades who I talk to everyday on this board...debate with, laugh with, and hang out with in one wonderful value investing binge in Toronto! My life is a joy that I never imagined. Cheers! -
Poll to see what investor sentiment on this board is like regarding the proxy solicitation against Sandridge Energy and its board of directors. Cheers!
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Corner of Berkshire & Fairfax Message Board - 11th Anniversary!
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Oh, it will continue as long as I'm alive! I love hanging out with you guys, and I have a blast being able to communicate with so many people. It will continue to evolve at a sloth-like pace, as it has for the last 11 years. I want to maintain a sense of community, so we'll get larger slowly. The boards will continue to be monitored as they have been. I'm still looking at the best ways to make the site mobile. The cheaper and free ways of setting up a site for mobile browsers doesn't work as well with the Simple Machines software and layout. I think it's going to be costly, so it may be a little longer before we do that. I'll let you guys know of any other updates as they happen, if any. Cheers! Out of curiosity have you looked at: http://tapatalk.com/activate_tapatalk.php They have SMF plugin which appears to be free, then users buy the client app from the app store. Thanks Compoundinglife, I'll try that one. I tried 3 other ones, and unfortunately if they are free or cheaper, they don't allow you to really organize the posts in an effective manner, or the appearance was useless. I'll let you know how this one works. Cheers! -
Corner of Berkshire & Fairfax Message Board - 11th Anniversary!
Parsad replied to Parsad's topic in General Discussion
Oh, it will continue as long as I'm alive! I love hanging out with you guys, and I have a blast being able to communicate with so many people. It will continue to evolve at a sloth-like pace, as it has for the last 11 years. I want to maintain a sense of community, so we'll get larger slowly. The boards will continue to be monitored as they have been. I'm still looking at the best ways to make the site mobile. The cheaper and free ways of setting up a site for mobile browsers doesn't work as well with the Simple Machines software and layout. I think it's going to be costly, so it may be a little longer before we do that. I'll let you guys know of any other updates as they happen, if any. Cheers! -
Hi Folks, Tomorrow is the 11th Anniversary of the board. So, what could be a better anniversary gift than hearing Steve Cohan may soon finally have to close shop! In it's former incarnation, "The MSN Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder's Board", was simply someplace for me and a few of my Berkshire friends to hangout. It grew to become a safe haven for Fairfax Financial shareholders during the epic (at least in our minds) bear raid in 2003 after Fairfax listed in New York. I've made a ton of wonderful friends on here, and it's catalogued my experiences, both in life and the investment community. So thank you for listening and being my friend! I used to do occasional interviews with people related to the value-investing community. So I thought I would include all of the interviews conducted. There was one from Irwin Michaels as well, but after a couple of revisits and revisions, he was still unhappy with the end product, so we nixed the interview...unfortunately, I cannot include it. But it certainly is fun reading some of these interviews from back then...hope you enjoy them! Cheers! Interview_With_Mohnish_Pabrai_-_October_21_2003.pdf Interview_With_John_Zemanovich_-_November_14_2003.pdf Interview_With_Amitabh_Singhi.pdf Interview_With_Andy_Kilpatrick_-_July_17_2003.pdf Interview_With_Tim_McElvaine_-_January_18_2005.pdf Interview_With_John_Linnartz_-_April_3_2009.pdf Interview_With_Sardar_Biglari_-_October_27_2004.pdf Interview_With_Jonathan_Wellum_-_June_5_2003.pdf Interview_With_Larry_Sarbit_-_July_29_2004.pdf
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The SEC suit is predicated on the deposition Cohan gave during Fairfax's case. Prem may win this one after all! Good riddance to rubbish! Cheers!
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Japan's 2% target is going to be a bit low: http://www.oanda.com/currency/historical-rates/ Cheers!
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On the other hand, the substance of your post indicates that you are saying that both companies are/were trading under IV, but that there was some probability (perhaps, a high probability) that the IV at DELL and SHLD would be destroyed through mal-investment or non-optimal capital allocation (opportunity cost of not monetizing assets and reinvesting). Hi Tx, yes this is exactly what I was referring to. This potential for destruction (or growth) of capital allocation occurs in any business, but there has been a sort of history for the last few years that destruction was occurring at SHLD, and to a lesser degree at DELL. It doesn't mean that is what is going to happen long-term, but management either missed the boat for a period of time, or have decided to transition the business and are somewhat at the mercy of competition. I suspect Mohnish does not believe these trends are going to be reversed...I'm sort of ambivalent...I think it could go either way. Cheers!
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He certainly did! :D Microsoft, Silver Lake, SEAM, et al, including Sanjeev, thought otherwise. And that's what great about this board. We tend to give our opinions even when they are contrary to the greats. We should qualify what Mohnish said about DELL, and I think this is his thinking about SHLD. He believed Dell will destroy shareholder value long-term...more the business and the competition it faced. Whereas I thought DELL was cheap on a nominal basis. These two ideas aren't mutually exclusive. So I'm not sure Mohnish was wrong long-term...he was just wrong about the value in the short-term. We are out of Dell now and we would have been out at a certain price regardless of the buyout...probably in the $15-18 range. The buyout actually ended up being less than what we would have preferred to sell at, so it wasn't quite the home-run that we hoped for. We did very well in a short-period of time, but not a grand slam. I think SHLD may be similiar. On a nominal basis, it is somewhat cheap, but that doesn't mean that long-term destruction of value won't continue to happen. It's a rotten business with very good assets...now how do you monetize those assets before that rotten business eats it all up? So far, it's eaten a massive chunk! I think you've got a reasonably good chance with Eddie and Bruce controlling it, but they could do what Dell did and screw shareholders over as well. And so far, Eddie's results of monetizing those assets has been very subpar. Cheers!
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I really like the quote: There is a famous quote: if wealth is lost, nothing is lost. If health is lost, something is lost and if character is lost, everything is lost. Also, he says his family is the 2nd largest investor in the fund...who the hell is first! He's got like $40-45M in there...must be an endowment or something. Very good interview! Cheers!
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Pretty long interview with Mohnish in Outlook India: http://business.outlookindia.com/article.aspx?283880 Also interviews with other value investors, including Howard Marks & Wilbur Ross: http://business.outlookindia.com/content.aspx?site=2&issue=10969 Cheers!
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I don't think this day-trading experience is going to end well. I'm sure there are plenty of people day-trading again, if a 16 year old actress is having success and getting publicity. As she says, she doesn't like low-risk type of things, and she's getting a high off the trading. No fundamentals...at some point you always get burned. Cheers!
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I used to date a girl who would get turned on by finance talk. She herself was in finance, but knew little about investing. But she could listen to me all day and it would be sexy for her. Maybe we could get a few of these women to show up at our dinner and events, as they seem to be almost completely male-dominated! Cheers!
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From things I have heard in the recent past about Buffett's personal portfolio, I believe he could do 50% a year...with small sums as he stated...but it would not take long for it to be well above that threshold and the impact of size would start to affect results. So if Buffett could start again now with $1M, which is what he was discussing when he made that statement, I think he could compound at 50% a year for about 12, maybe 15 years...which would get him close to half a billion...I think 15 would be pushing it. From there I think you would see diminishing returns as the number of opportunities decreases. Cheers!
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They'll occur...especially when markets are extremely volatile, because the psychology has not changed. If you remember what things were like in late 2008 and early 2009, most value investors were out of the market and analysts were wringing their hands because they didn't even have time to adjust target prices as stocks fell. How many people bought GE at $6 or WFC at $9? How many bought BAC at $5 a little while ago. I remember no one was buying SHLD short-term debt...maturing in just over a year and it was trading at 65 cents on the dollar! With more attention and more eyes on the markets, plus all sorts of dark pools of capital, I think we've actually compressed time frames and you get far more inefficiencies in prices. The one area where there are truly fewer opportunities is arbitrage where computerized trading has just been able to exploit it to their advantage. Cheers!