This seems to be a play on endless QE obviously. Silver traded way up in 2010-2011 after QE2. Tempting for gamble.
Silver is an interesting idea. Like gold, I think it’s very misunderstood. It’s an asset that people don’t have much use for during times of monetary stability. And it isn’t a good hedge against steady inflation in a fairly stable monetary environment; I’d much rather outpace inflation by owning businesses that grow over the long run.
The price of silver, to the extent that its driven by non-industrial demand, is very psychological. Thus, it seems to be a good hedge against a very specific kind of risk: a loss of faith in the currency/fed. If you think that such a risk is not being appreciated by the market, owning silver could make sense.
Precious metals are “things” that can’t truly be valued, and this explains most value investors’ aversion to them. All of the arguments for owning silver are really the same whether it’s 15 dollars or 100 dollars an ounce. At the same time, precious metals are ridiculed by much of the public; pension funds barely have exposure, if any; retirement plans don’t offer it; and most financial advisors would probably laugh at you if asked them about gold. And, until recently, a person would have needed to search for fringe articles on the internet to find a pro-gold perspective. All of these things lead me to believe that metals are probably under owned.
I will add there is no silver mines. Silver are produced as a by products from other mines. But I have no positions.