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CorpRaider

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Everything posted by CorpRaider

  1. Yeah, I'm following it. Seems kind of cheap, so I've been trying to figure out why. I guess on their last call they said their leverage is a little higher than they want (like almost 1 turn of EBITDA) and they are planning to reduce by selling more Chambers Street properties, right? But there was some mention of "raising capital." I guess maybe people don't like having to continue the "transition" from chambers street/office exposure in a deteriorating environment (they are still like 45% exposed to office, I think, and it ain't trophy stuff in manhattan). Also seems like they keep issuing stock either when it pops up or via upreit acquisitions, but I guess most REITs do that. Hate to get diluted as part of the ongoing business model. That's probably why I'm only long EQC and VER (though VER did dump some stock on us as soon as the equity got to nicely valued). I am charmed by management and they seem to be starting to think about being defensive; for example, talking about how it is late cycle and there is a lot of supply coming to market in last q call.
  2. Interesting. I've been looking around but kind of think most of the impacts are due to retail exposure. But I guess VNQ is now yielding 4.5% and like SLG green is trading a like a 15 P/FFO, so I see your point on a 4.5% cap rate. Maybe you are seeing a lag in pricing adjustments. I own some VER too, but the retail exposure, ton o' red lobsters, history of fraud (granted former management), and looming litigation are going to scare off most. Even like the WAG and CVS exposures would scare some people with Badmazon thought to be coming.
  3. You seem to have failed to include the eventual winner (and a metro which already made the cut) Ralaaah. I've seen multiple projections that NC is going to top 5 states in U.S. population and Amazon can get on the train. Also, DC blows.
  4. Yeah, I sold down my warrants over the course of the year selling the biggest slug, which was like 50% of my discretionary account,before this year end run up. I planned to transition from the warrants to the common and let it ride but it took off without me and I probably missed another 50% in gains. W/R/T the Crypto millionaire: I remember back in the 90s I bought some Aspect Development, which was like B2B inventory management software. I can't remember the specialized BS acronym Silicon Valley placed on this niche back then. I caught like a 500% move and then it was acquired by I2 technologies which was a big "B2B" bubble stock. I think I ended up with a 50 bagger or so. I was in college so it was a small initial investment that grew to maybe enough to buy a house (not a beach house). Rolled all that profit into...Lucent Technologies (after a 50% drawdown, but before the remaining 99%). Sort of wish I bought the house; or rolled it into CCL or even Wachovia, which I had requested and received as gifts on my 8th and 10th (I think) birthdays respectively. Or maybe been smart enough to buy some BRK after the first (or even the third) Buffett book that I read. These public companies slapping bitcoin or blockchain in their name and getting bumps really reminds me of the .com and B2B B2C bullshit from that time. Blockchain also kind of reminds me of TCP/IP and related technological advances that ended up reaping bupkiss economically. Netscape and AOL were great for a while.
  5. Would you say Etheruem is more like a raw input for other crypto assets/smart contract/transaction protocols or a productive asset (akin to raw land that the developers of other protocols buy and build their structures upon); or neither? I would never be interested in "digital gold" as I have never been interested in real gold. If I was interested in either, I would need to be able to trade it to the hillbillies down the road for alpo and shotgun shells if small hands and rocket man decide to touch their buttons. So I thinking I would prefer real gold. But in reality I'm hoping I could forgive some treasury debt in exchange for M-16s or Kevlar pants or something.
  6. Happy New Year! 2018 will be hard pressed to beat 2017!
  7. Thank you for another reminder that I should probably switch to indexing. :) Yeah, probably good to keep our bull market genius in perspective.
  8. Some ETF/hurdle rates: YTD through 12/29 QVAL: 25.60% IUSV: 15.09% RPV: 17.29% VBR: 11.80% RFV: 14.73% FNDB: 16.93% VIG: 22.22% VTI: 21.21% IVAL: 31.02% FNDF: 23.95% IEFA: 26.59% VWO: 31.48% IEMG: 37.40% VXUS: 27.45% VIGI: 27.96%
  9. It is really good. Finally read it a few weeks ago. The character sketches are neat/entertaining.
  10. All the Greenblatt books. Intelligent investor (2 chapters only; you know which ones). Damn Right. Snowball (I shit you not). Thinking Fast N Slow. The Ascent of Money. Berkshire Annual Reports, Where are the Customer's Yachts...
  11. I don't think we can count Gayner really. The Markels own a lot more stock and he's just co-ceo with the insurance guy.
  12. Yeah, RPV is +6.45% YTD and +16.15% over 1 year VBR is +5.56% YTD and +15.16% 1 year
  13. Someone wake me when Tony freaking Robbins stops publishing investment books. Holy Robert J. Shiller this is going to be nasty. Ahh I'm probably just pissed that I sold my BAC wta right before BAC starting ripping again. Bought a little CAG. Mostly a placeholder. CEO did me right @ the old SLE.
  14. Bought some COTY. Just a little skin to make me pay attention.
  15. Marketing for China fund? Wants to live beyond himself?
  16. man yahoo finance has really imploded. I used to check there like at least a few times per week and now I haven't been to the site probably since the Berkshire stream. I really appreciate all your efforts on the TARP warrants. I am toying with the idea of selling my last slug of BAC-WTA and rolling into common. Just because the timeframe is getting shorter and trump or Kim Jong or something could knock things off kilter for a year or two. Of course, I'm not holding in a taxable account.
  17. I liked it, very much. Obviously most of us have been previously exposed to their work but the story of the two and their personal background was 100% worth the read.
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